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Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited THB 0.47, price THB 1.90, upside -75.3%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · TH · ISIN TH5288010009

KT Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited logo Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited

KTIS · BK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 75% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 41/100
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Fair value 0.4700 THB · Strongly overvalued (−75.3%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr in THB)
Loss-making · -5.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 17/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6.45 THB 1.80 THB Fair Value 0.4700 THB May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.80 THB – 6.45 THB · fair‑value band 0.3400 THB – 1.01 THB · the 1.90 THB price screens above the 0.4700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes sugar in Thailand and internationally.

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It operates through Production and Distribution of Sugar; Production and Distribution of Pulp; Production and Distribution of Alcohol; and Production and Distribution of Electricity segments.

The company offers raw, white, and refined sugar; molasses products or sugar residues that are used as raw material in various products, such as food and ethanol; dry and wet pulp, and packaging products from bagasse pulp; organic and bio-fertilizers; and ethanol products, including industrial and fuel alcohol.

It also generates and distributes electricity through biomass and solar energy; and leases agricultural machinery and equipment. In addition, the company is involved in property rental and trading; assets management; and research and development services.

Further, it manufactures and distributes containers made from bagasse. The company was formerly known as Kaset Thai Industry Sugar Company Limited. Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Nakhon Sawan, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) currently trades at 1.90 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4700 THB, 75.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.18 THB per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the 1.90 THB price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.3800 THB, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.3400 THB (bear) to 1.01 THB (bull), the price of 1.90 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited reported revenue of 14.8B THB in FY2025 versus 10.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.3B THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 7.3B THB (≈ $217M) · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) −0.1900 THB · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin −8.6% · Return on equity −14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 6.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −75%, KTIS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.3400 THB Fair Value 0.4700 THB Bull 1.01 THB
Price 1.90 THB · Upside -75.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM 0.3500 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 THB 0.4100 THB 0.4900 THB 67
EV/EBITDA 1.64 THB 2.18 THB 2.72 THB 67
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3500 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4200 THB 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 THB 0.4100 THB 0.4900 THB 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 1.64 THB 2.18 THB 2.72 THB 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6900 THB 0.9200 THB 1.37 THB 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 25
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 99
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 99
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 39
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 33
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 88
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.3% (2020) → −1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KTIS screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 6.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/S (12 months) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)23 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)53 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
ORION Holdings 001800 23,000 KRW 51,062 KRW +122% vs KTIS
ORION Corp 271560 106,900 KRW 203,315 KRW +90% vs KTIS
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 7,850 CHF 11,708 +49% vs KTIS
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,035 CHF 654.80 −37% vs KTIS
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥16.29 ¥10.01 −39% vs KTIS
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $37.48 $21.64 −42% vs KTIS
The Hershey Company HSY $163.84 $90.80 −45% vs KTIS
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $59.62 $29.03 −51% vs KTIS
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.76 ¥8.53 −55% vs KTIS
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹649.05 ₹160.97 −75% vs KTIS

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Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited · Fair Value
0.4700 THB −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KTIS

Frequently asked questions

Is Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4700 THB versus a price of 1.90 THB, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KTIS?
Our model-based fair value for Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 0.4700 THB (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.90 THB.
What is the quality score of KTIS?
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4700 THB (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3400 THB, optimistic scenario 1.01 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4700 THB, about −75% upside versus a price of 1.90 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3400 THB, optimistic scenario 1.01 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.0B THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.63% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited it is 0.4700 THB per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of 1.90 THB. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, KTIS trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.90 THB, fair value 0.4700 THB, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KTIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.90 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4700 THB). For Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited the two are 1.43 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited at about 7.3B THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is 1.90 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4700 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KTIS?
Our models span a range for Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.3400 THB, base 0.4700 THB, optimistic 1.01 THB per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price 1.90 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −14.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KTIS from its 52-week high?
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited trades at 1.90 THB, about 8% below its 52-week high of 2.06 THB and 6% above the low of 1.80 THB (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4700 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price 1.90 THB, calculated fair value 0.4700 THB (−75%), Quality Score 41/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KTIS calculated?
We run Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4700 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was 1.90 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.4700 THB, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.01 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.3400 THB to 1.01 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The market capitalisation of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 7.3B THB (≈ $217M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 0.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Earnings per share at Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited are −0.1900 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The dividend yield of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The net margin of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is −8.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is −14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
The operating margin of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Revenue at Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS)?
Earnings per share at Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited are growing −10.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) generate?
The free cash flow of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is −1.0B THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) carry?
The net debt of Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited is 6.6B THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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