Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 7.1B THB (≈ $213M) · ISIN TH5288010009
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +7.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 315% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.01 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.3700 THB to 1.01 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.80 THB – 6.45 THB · fair‑value band 0.3700 THB – 1.01 THB · the 1.95 THB price screens above the 0.4700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited (KTIS) currently trades at 1.95 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited generated revenue of 20.5B THB at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 58.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 6.6B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.3700 THB (bear case) to 1.01 THB (bull case); at 1.95 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -76%, KTIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2.18 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.4900 THB). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes sugar in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Production and Distribution of Sugar; Production and Distribution of Pulp; Production and Distribution of Alcohol; and Production and Distribution of Electricity segments.
Full company description
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes sugar in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Production and Distribution of Sugar; Production and Distribution of Pulp; Production and Distribution of Alcohol; and Production and Distribution of Electricity segments. The company offers raw, white, and refined sugar; molasses products or sugar residues that are used as raw material in various products, such as food and ethanol; dry and wet pulp, and packaging products from bagasse pulp; organic and bio-fertilizers; and ethanol products, including industrial and fuel alcohol. It also generates and distributes electricity through biomass and solar energy; and leases agricultural machinery and equipment. In addition, the company is involved in property rental and trading; assets management; and research and development services. Further, it manufactures and distributes containers made from bagasse. The company was formerly known as Kaset Thai Industry Sugar Company Limited. Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Nakhon Sawan, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation Public Company Limited reported revenue of 14.8B THB in FY2025 versus 10.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.3B THB in FY2025.
KTIS screens 315% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 92,700 | CHF 9,485 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $63.01 | $27.36 | -57% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | -49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,118 | CHF 711.91 | -36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | -43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | -51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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