Kubota Corporation (KUBTF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $18.9B
Kubota Corporation
KUBTF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −7.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($11.78 to $21.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.63 – $21.38 · fair‑value band $11.78 – $21.80 · the $15.15 price screens above the $12.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Kubota Corporation (KUBTF) currently trades at $15.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.70, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kubota Corporation generated revenue of $3.1T at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at $2.0T. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.78 (bear case) to $21.80 (bull case); at $15.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -16%, KUBTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($18.47) versus Earnings-Based ($5.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kubota Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural and construction machinery in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Kubota Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural and construction machinery in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers tractors, power tillers, combine harvesters, rice transplanters, turf equipment, utility vehicles, other agricultural machineries, implements, attachments, post-harvest machineries, vegetable production equipment, intermediate management machines, and other equipment for agricultural use, weighing and measuring control systems, and cooperative drying, rice seedling, and gardening facilities, as well as rice mill plants. It also provides farm equipment, construction machinery, industrial machinery, and generators engines; and mini excavators, wheel loaders, compact track loaders, skid steer loaders, and other construction machinery-related products. In addition, the company offers ductile iron pipe, plastic pipe, valves, single stack drain fittings, and design and construction of construction works; reformer and cracking tubes, hearth rolls, TXAX, steel pipe piles, steel pipe sheet piles, and air-conditioning equipment; wastewater treatment equipment and plants, pumps and plants, membrane solutions, water purification plants, night-soil treatment plants, waste incinerating and melting plants, waste shredding and sorting plants, flue gas desulfurization apparatus, membrane methane fermentation plants, wastewater treatment plant, and valves sector. Further, it is involved in the provision of roofing, siding materials and rain gutters; logistics, retail financing, and finance leasing services; export and import of components for farm equipment, engines, and construction machinery; underwriting non-life insurance; design and construction of water and sewage; civil engineering; management of logistics and logistics information service; and building maintenance, security guarding, and facility management. Kubota Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kubota Corporation reported revenue of $3.0T in FY2025 versus $2.2T in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $187B in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
KUBTF screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kubota GAAP EPS of ¥152.96, revenue of ¥1690.28B; updates FY 2026 outlook
- AirJoule’s Kubota Deal Is a Major Validation—But the Hard Part Comes Next
- AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ) Could Be 45% Undervalued After Kubota Partnership
- AirJoule Technologies (AIRJ) Is Up 15.3% After Exclusive Kubota Deal For Texas, California Housing Markets
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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