Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kyudenko Corporation $45.42, price $39.90, upside +13.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range $36.54 – $39.90 · fair‑value band $27.49 – $65.59 · the $39.90 price screens below the $45.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Kraftia Corporation engages in design, construction, and installation of power infrastructure construction business in Japan.
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Kraftia Corporation engages in design, construction, and installation of power infrastructure construction business in Japan. The company offers distribution line, under line, and underground line works; and electrical work for commercial buildings, office buildings, factories, educational and cultural facilities, resort facilities, and renewable energy power plants. It is also involved in the design, construction, and maintenance of various wastewater treatment, water supply, and recycling facilities; renewable energy generation business; and provision of building out FTTH networks that supply broadband connectivity to residences, updating cable TV equipment, and building base stations for mobile phone carriers, as well as fiber optic cable and communication cable installation services. In addition, the company engages in ecological, private finance initiative, overseas, and olive businesses; and provision of teleradiology systems. The company was formerly known as Kyudenko Corporation and changed its name to Kraftia Corporation in October 2025. Kraftia Corporation was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Stock analysis
Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF) currently trades at $39.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.42, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $67.45 per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the $39.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.11, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $27.49 (bear) to $65.59 (bull), the price of $39.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kyudenko Corporation reported revenue of ¥476B in FY2026 versus ¥377B in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥40.1B in FY2026, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 14.5 · P/S ratio 1.22 · EPS (TTM) $2.75 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 14%, KYDKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $27.49Fair Value $45.42Bull $65.59
Price $39.90 · Upside +13.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 12%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.2% a year for the price and +2.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 801 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+13.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.3% · Above median
Return on assets7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kyudenko Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYDKF
Frequently asked questions
Is Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.42 versus a price of $39.90, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KYDKF?
Our model-based fair value for Kyudenko Corporation is $45.42 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $39.90.
What is the quality score of KYDKF?
Kyudenko Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $45.42 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.49, optimistic scenario $65.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kyudenko Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $45.42, about +14% upside versus a price of $39.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $27.49, optimistic scenario $65.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Kyudenko Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥474B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Kyudenko Corporation pay a dividend?
Kyudenko Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kyudenko Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +27.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KYDKF use?
Our models discount Kyudenko Corporation at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kyudenko Corporation that is +27.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Kyudenko Corporation grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +27.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kyudenko Corporation (+27.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.62 %: that much free cash flow Kyudenko Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kyudenko Corporation it is $45.42 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of $39.90. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kyudenko Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, KYDKF trades below its calculated fair value: price $39.90, fair value $45.42, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KYDKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($39.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($45.42). For Kyudenko Corporation the two are $5.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kyudenko Corporation worth?
The market values Kyudenko Corporation at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is $39.90; our models calculate a fair value of $45.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KYDKF?
Our models span a range for Kyudenko Corporation: cautious scenario $27.49, base $45.42, optimistic $65.59 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price $39.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KYDKF?
Kyudenko Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $45.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kyudenko Corporation (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KYDKF from its 52-week high?
Kyudenko Corporation trades at $39.90, at its 52-week high of $39.90 and 6% above the low of $37.64 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $45.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kyudenko Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kyudenko Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price $39.90, calculated fair value $45.42 (+14%), Quality Score 59/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KYDKF calculated?
We run Kyudenko Corporation through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $45.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kyudenko Corporation currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $39.90. Our model-based fair value is $45.42, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kyudenko Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($27.49 to $65.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Kyudenko Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The market capitalisation of Kyudenko Corporation is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kyudenko Corporation is 1.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Earnings per share at Kyudenko Corporation are $2.75 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The dividend yield of Kyudenko Corporation is 3.1% (payout 45.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The net margin of Kyudenko Corporation is 8.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kyudenko Corporation is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kyudenko Corporation is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
The operating margin of Kyudenko Corporation is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Revenue at Kyudenko Corporation is growing −1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kyudenko Corporation (KYDKF)?
Earnings per share at Kyudenko Corporation are growing +9.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Oct 1, 2026