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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. BRL 60.90, price BRL 172, upside -64.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · BR · Home US

LN Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

L1YV34 · SA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value R$60.90 · Strongly overvalued (−64.6%)
!Quality 50/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +14.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/7)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$193.00 R$66.04 Fair Value R$60.90 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$66.04 – R$193.00 · fair‑value band R$31.90 – R$79.17 · the R$172.05 price screens above the R$60.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company worldwide. The company operates through Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising segments. Its Concerts segment promotes live music events in its owned or operated venues, and in rented third-party venues.

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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company worldwide. The company operates through Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising segments. Its Concerts segment promotes live music events in its owned or operated venues, and in rented third-party venues. This segment operates and manages music venues; produces music festivals; creates associated content; and offers management and other services to artists. The Ticketing segment manages the ticketing operations, including the provision of ticketing software and services to consumers with marketplace for tickets and event information through mobile apps, other websites, and retail outlets, as well as its websites, such as livenation.com and ticketmaster.com; and provides ticket resale services. This segment offers ticketing services for arenas, stadiums, amphitheaters, music clubs, concert promoters, professional sports franchises and leagues, college sports teams, performing arts venues, museums, and theaters. Its Sponsorship & Advertising segment sells international, national, and local sponsorships and placement of advertising, including signage, online advertising, and promotional programs; rich media offering, including advertising related with live streaming and music-related content; and ads through distribution network of venues, events, and websites. This segment also manages the development of strategic sponsorship programs, as well as develops, books, and produces custom events or programs for specific brands. It owns, operates, or leases entertainment venues. The company was formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. and changed its name to Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. in January 2010. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.

Stock analysis

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) currently trades at R$172.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$60.90, 64.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$94.76 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the R$172.05 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$8.55, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: R$31.90 (bear) to R$79.17 (bull), the price of R$172.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. reported revenue of $25.2B in FY2025 versus $6.3B in FY2021, a compound +41.6%/yr. Reported net income was $496M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$214B (≈ $40.9B) · P/S ratio 8.35 · EPS (TTM) R$−1.84 · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin −9.9% · Revenue (TTM) $25.6B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −65%, L1YV34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$31.90 Fair Value R$60.90 Bull R$79.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$36.38 R$63.60 R$140.12 71
EPV R$39.90 R$46.94 R$53.10 71
Growth DCF R$34.68 R$70.98 R$139.49 70
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$36.38 R$63.60 R$140.12 71
5Y Revenue Exit R$46.96 R$94.76 R$184.95 65
5Y EBITDA Exit R$54.60 R$111.42 R$211.59 68
5Y P/E Exit R$34.36 R$72.39 R$120.84 65
10Y Revenue Exit R$41.63 R$95.58 R$166.18 61
10Y EBITDA Exit R$49.06 R$109.84 R$221.66 61
10Y P/E Exit R$34.86 R$72.06 R$134.86 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$15.14 R$103.87 R$145.66 60
Lynch FV R$30.56 R$43.65 R$56.75 58
PEG = 1.0 R$30.56 R$43.65 R$56.75 55
EPV R$39.90 R$46.94 R$53.10 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$36.73 R$48.97 R$61.22 63
P/S Multiple R$28.38 R$37.84 R$47.30 58
P/B Multiple R$3.65 R$4.87 R$6.08 55
EV/EBIT R$73.44 R$98.70 R$123.95 66
EV/EBITDA R$63.31 R$85.18 R$107.06 67
EV/Revenue R$48.75 R$70.63 R$92.52 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$0.6100 R$0.8100 R$1.22 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$34.68 R$70.98 R$139.49 70
Rev-Margin DCF R$46.96 R$98.70 R$175.53 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$4.69 R$8.55 R$26.24 55
ROIC Compounder R$43.08 R$54.55 R$67.54 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$42.92 R$61.32 R$79.72 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 5%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.9% a year for the price and +5.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+10.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+8.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.5%

L1YV34 screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −70.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 2.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −9.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
PEG 16.99× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)61 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%
Warner Music Group WMG $27.14 $10.85 −60%

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Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. · Fair Value
R$60.90 −65%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/L1YV34

Frequently asked questions

Is Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$60.90 versus a price of R$172.05, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of L1YV34?
Our model-based fair value for Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is R$60.90 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$172.05.
What is the quality score of L1YV34?
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$60.90 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$31.90, optimistic scenario R$79.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$60.90, about −65% upside versus a price of R$172.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$31.90, optimistic scenario R$79.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +23.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +41.6 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of L1YV34 use?
Our models discount Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. that is +23.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. grew +41.6 % a year. The price currently implies +23.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (+23.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.93 %: that much free cash flow Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. it is R$60.90 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$172.05. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, L1YV34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$172.05, fair value R$60.90, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of L1YV34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$172.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$60.90). For Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. the two are R$111.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. worth?
The market values Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. at about R$214B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$172.05; our models calculate a fair value of R$60.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about L1YV34?
Our models span a range for Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.: cautious scenario R$31.90, base R$60.90, optimistic R$79.17 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$172.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of L1YV34?
The PEG ratio of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is 16.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is L1YV34 from its 52-week high?
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. trades at R$172.05, about 11% below its 52-week high of R$193.00 and 25% above the low of R$138.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$60.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$172.05, calculated fair value R$60.90 (−65%), Quality Score 50/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of L1YV34 calculated?
We run Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$60.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$172.05. Our model-based fair value is R$60.90, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$79.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$31.90 to R$79.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The market capitalisation of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is R$214B (≈ $40.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is 8.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Earnings per share at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. are R$−1.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The net margin of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
The operating margin of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is −9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Revenue at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is growing +12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34)?
Earnings per share at Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. are growing −56.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (L1YV34) carry?
The net debt of Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. is $1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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