Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A stock €15.37, price €48.20, that is 68.1% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €17.77 – €48.60 · fair‑value band €6.47 – €22.78 · the €48.20 price screens above the €15.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A. operates hotels primarily in Greece, Cyprus, and Serbia.
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The company operates the Hotel Grande Bretagne located in Athens; the King George hotel with 59 rooms and 43 suites in Athens; and the Sheraton Rhodes Resort, which comprises 401 guestrooms situated on the island of Rhodes.
It also operates the Hyatt Regency Hotel that includes 301 luxury rooms, suites, and facilities for recreation and dining located in Belgrade; the Hotel Excelsior, which has 76 rooms, 2 junior suites, a banquet area, and a restaurant located in Belgrade; and Athens Capital Hotel in Greece.
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A. was founded in 1919 and is based in Athens, Greece.
Stock analysis
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) currently trades at €48.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.37, 68% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €22.51 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €48.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.33, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €6.47 (bear) to €22.78 (bull), the price of €48.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A reported revenue of €126M in FY2025 versus €50.7M in FY2021, a compound +25.6%/yr. Reported net income was €18.9M in FY2025, compounding +74.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €1.0B Small · P/E ratio 49.7 · P/S ratio 8.05 · EPS (TTM) €0.9700 · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 16.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −68%, LAMPS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€4.33 to €37.48). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear€6.47Fair Value €15.37Bull€22.78
Price €48.20 · Downside -68.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.8318 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+33.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−96% → 19%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+55.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +52.4% a year for the price.
Compare Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−68.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)16.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)16.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.48× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
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Is Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.37 versus a price of €48.20, about 68% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LAMPS?
Our model-based fair value for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is €15.37 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €48.20.
What is the quality score of LAMPS?
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €15.37 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.47, optimistic scenario €22.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €15.37, about 68% lower versus a price of €48.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.47, optimistic scenario €22.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €128M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +55.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +48.0 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LAMPS use?
Our models discount Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.04, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A that is +55.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A grew +48.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +55.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (+55.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.78 %: that much free cash flow Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A it is €15.37 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of €48.20. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, LAMPS trades above its calculated fair value: price €48.20, fair value €15.37, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LAMPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€48.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€15.37). For Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A the two are €32.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A worth?
The market values Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A at about €1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is €48.20; our models calculate a fair value of €15.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LAMPS?
Our models span a range for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A: cautious scenario €6.47, base €15.37, optimistic €22.78 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price €48.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LAMPS?
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.7 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €15.37 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 40.5. Other multiples: P/B 7.4, P/S 8.0, EV/EBITDA 29.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 14.4%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LAMPS from its 52-week high?
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A trades at €48.20, about 1% below its 52-week high of €48.60 and 14% above the low of €42.20 (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €15.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price €48.20, calculated fair value €15.37 (−68%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LAMPS calculated?
We run Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €15.37 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The closing price on Nov 3, 2026 was €48.20. Our model-based fair value is €15.37, about 68% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€22.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€6.47 to €22.78). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The market capitalisation of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is €1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is 8.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Earnings per share at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A are €0.9700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The net margin of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is 16.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
The operating margin of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Revenue at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS)?
Earnings per share at Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A are growing +34.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A (LAMPS) carry?
The net debt of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels S.A is €49.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 4, 2026