Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. BRL 5.52, price BRL 9.40, upside -41.3%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$7.26 – R$29.67 · fair‑value band R$4.14 – R$5.52 · the R$9.40 price screens above the R$5.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. operates as a rural real estate company in Brazil. It engages in leasing of farms for agricultural production located in various municipalities in Mato Grosso. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) currently trades at R$9.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$5.52, implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of R$4.59 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the R$9.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$0.7900, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$4.14 (bear) to R$5.52 (bull), the price of R$9.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. reported revenue of R$96.6M in FY2025 versus R$104M in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$4.7M in FY2025, compounding −40.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$904M (≈ $176M) · P/E ratio 313.3 · P/S ratio 15.4 · EPS (TTM) R$0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −41%, LAND3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (R$0.0800 to R$5.87). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear R$4.14Fair Value R$5.52Bull R$5.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.0220 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.93% → −1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Brazil: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.9% a year for the price.
Compare Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−41% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)66% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)313.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)9.31× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF4.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)13· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)17· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LAND3
Frequently asked questions
Is Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$5.52 versus a price of R$9.40, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LAND3?
Our model-based fair value for Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is R$5.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$9.40.
What is the quality score of LAND3?
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$5.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$4.14, optimistic scenario R$5.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$5.52, about −41% upside versus a price of R$9.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$4.14, optimistic scenario R$5.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$97.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. pay a dividend?
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LAND3 use?
Our models discount Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. grew +13.2 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.98 %: that much free cash flow Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. it is R$5.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$9.40. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LAND3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$9.40, fair value R$5.52, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LAND3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$9.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$5.52). For Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. the two are R$3.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. worth?
The market values Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. at about R$904M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$9.40; our models calculate a fair value of R$5.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LAND3?
Our models span a range for Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A.: cautious scenario R$4.14, base R$5.52, optimistic R$5.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$9.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LAND3?
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 313.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$5.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LAND3 from its 52-week high?
Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. trades at R$9.40, about 6% below its 52-week high of R$10.00 and 29% above the low of R$7.26 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$5.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$9.40, calculated fair value R$5.52 (−41%), Quality Score 68/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LAND3 calculated?
We run Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$5.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$9.40. Our model-based fair value is R$5.52, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$5.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The market capitalisation of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is R$904M (≈ $176M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 15.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Earnings per share at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. are R$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 313.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The dividend yield of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The net margin of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
The operating margin of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is 66.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Revenue at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3)?
Earnings per share at Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. are growing −15.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. (LAND3) carry?
The net debt of Terra Santa Propriedades Agrícolas S.A. is R$62.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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