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L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of L E Lundbergföretagen AB $57.09, price $57.38, upside -0.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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LE
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
L E Lundbergföretagen AB
LBGUF · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $57.09 · Fairly valued (−0.5%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 35.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $35.26 – $62.00 · fair‑value band $27.04 – $78.61 · the $57.38 price screens above the $57.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
L E Lundbergföretagen AB (publ) engages in the manufacture and sale of paperboard, paper, and sawn timber products worldwide. The company operates through Lundberg's Real Estate Operations, Equity Management, Holmen, and Hufvudstaden segments.
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L E Lundbergföretagen AB (publ) engages in the manufacture and sale of paperboard, paper, and sawn timber products worldwide. The company operates through Lundberg's Real Estate Operations, Equity Management, Holmen, and Hufvudstaden segments. It is involved in the real estate, forest, and power operations; and provision of equity management services, including securities trading. The company also owns and manages office and retail properties. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) currently trades at $57.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $57.09, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $62.88 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the $57.38 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.37, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $27.04 (bear) to $78.61 (bull), the price of $57.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
L E Lundbergföretagen AB reported revenue of 29.0B SEK in FY2025 versus 26.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 12.0B SEK in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $15.4B · P/E ratio 28.4 · P/S ratio 11.8 · EPS (TTM) $2.18 · Dividend yield 7.4% · Net margin 41.5% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −1%, LBGUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $27.04
Fair Value $57.09
Bull $78.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.65 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$44.37
$48.70
$62.01
75
Owner Earnings
$33.25
$62.49
$111.84
72
Growth DCF
$6.38
$15.01
$29.30
72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$33.25
$62.49
$111.84
72
5Y P/E Exit
$27.14
$57.30
$91.54
67
10Y P/E Exit
$19.91
$44.69
$79.54
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$32.89
$140.66
$192.15
61
Lynch FV
$35.96
$51.37
$66.78
58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$4.21
$8.75
$13.87
64
DDM Multi-Stage
$4.21
$7.37
$9.18
64
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$47.16
$62.88
$78.61
61
P/B Multiple
$53.73
$71.64
$89.56
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$25.59
$34.29
$51.17
52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$6.38
$15.01
$29.30
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$8.86
$20.14
$34.31
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$44.37
$48.70
$62.01
75
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability
38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
37/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
’14
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −7.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.2% vs 10.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 91% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 358 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$12.94 | HK$25.88 | +100% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$102.00 | HK$28.34 | −72% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 611,000 KRW | 348,688 KRW | −43% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $55.36 | $78.34 | +42% |
| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.30 SGD | 3.88 SGD | −66% |
| Kingdom Holding 4280 | 13.08 SAR | 13.40 SAR | +2% |
| Koç Holding KCHOL | 216.50 TRY | 182.26 TRY | −16% |
| Aker ASA AKER | kr 1,396 | kr 1,017 | −27% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $57.09 versus a price of $57.38, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LBGUF?
Our model-based fair value for L E Lundbergföretagen AB is $57.09 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $57.38.
What is the quality score of LBGUF?
L E Lundbergföretagen AB has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $57.09 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.04, optimistic scenario $78.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the L E Lundbergföretagen AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $57.09, about −1% upside versus a price of $57.38 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $27.04, optimistic scenario $78.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
L E Lundbergföretagen AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does L E Lundbergföretagen AB pay a dividend?
L E Lundbergföretagen AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.42% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, L E Lundbergföretagen AB would have to grow free cash flow by +36.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LBGUF use?
Our models discount L E Lundbergföretagen AB at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For L E Lundbergföretagen AB that is +36.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at L E Lundbergföretagen AB grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +36.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into L E Lundbergföretagen AB (+36.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.31 %: that much free cash flow L E Lundbergföretagen AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For L E Lundbergföretagen AB it is $57.09 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $57.38. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is L E Lundbergföretagen AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, LBGUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $57.38, fair value $57.09, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LBGUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($57.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($57.09). For L E Lundbergföretagen AB the two are $0.2900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is L E Lundbergföretagen AB worth?
The market values L E Lundbergföretagen AB at about $15.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $57.38; our models calculate a fair value of $57.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LBGUF?
Our models span a range for L E Lundbergföretagen AB: cautious scenario $27.04, base $57.09, optimistic $78.61 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $57.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LBGUF?
L E Lundbergföretagen AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $57.09 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for L E Lundbergföretagen AB (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LBGUF from its 52-week high?
L E Lundbergföretagen AB trades at $57.38, about 7% below its 52-week high of $62.00 and 26% above the low of $45.39 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $57.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to L E Lundbergföretagen AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is L E Lundbergföretagen AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $57.38, calculated fair value $57.09 (−1%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LBGUF calculated?
We run L E Lundbergföretagen AB through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $57.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. L E Lundbergföretagen AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $57.38. Our model-based fair value is $57.09, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with L E Lundbergföretagen AB right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($27.04 to $78.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) come from?
Earnings per share at L E Lundbergföretagen AB grew +2.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.1 %, EBIT margin −5.7 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of L E Lundbergföretagen AB
How large is the market capitalisation of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The market capitalisation of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is $15.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 11.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Earnings per share at L E Lundbergföretagen AB are $2.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The dividend yield of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 7.4% (payout 195%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The net margin of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 41.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Revenue at L E Lundbergföretagen AB is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF)?
Earnings per share at L E Lundbergföretagen AB are growing +50.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does L E Lundbergföretagen AB (LBGUF) carry?
The net debt of L E Lundbergföretagen AB is 23.0B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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