Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lycos Energy Inc. C$2.00, price C$1.85, upside +8.1%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0004 – C$4.24 · fair‑value band C$1.16 – C$3.32 · the C$1.85 price screens below the C$2.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lycos Energy Inc., a resource company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas in Western Canada. It develops heavy oil assets, targeting the Mannville stack in Central Alberta. Lycos Energy Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) currently trades at C$1.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.00, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.9600 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the C$1.85 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.4100, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$1.16 (bear) to C$3.32 (bull), the price of C$1.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lycos Energy Inc. reported revenue of C$82.9M in FY2025 versus C$14.9M in FY2021, a compound +53.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$49.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$258M (≈ $183M) · P/E ratio 26.4 · P/S ratio 5.35 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0700 · Net margin −59.8% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −384% · Operating margin 27.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 236% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 8%, LCX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$1.16Fair Value C$2.00Bull C$3.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0631 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−46.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2021) → 10.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Below median
Fair Value upside+8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−27% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lycos Energy Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LCX
Frequently asked questions
Is Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$2.00 versus a price of C$1.85, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LCX?
Our model-based fair value for Lycos Energy Inc. is C$2.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.85.
What is the quality score of LCX?
Lycos Energy Inc. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$2.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.16, optimistic scenario C$3.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lycos Energy Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$2.00, about +8% upside versus a price of C$1.85 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$1.16, optimistic scenario C$3.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Lycos Energy Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$48.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lycos Energy Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +53.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LCX use?
Our models discount Lycos Energy Inc. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lycos Energy Inc. that is +12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Lycos Energy Inc. grew +53.7 % a year. The price currently implies +12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lycos Energy Inc. (+12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.19 %: that much free cash flow Lycos Energy Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lycos Energy Inc. it is C$2.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$1.85. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lycos Energy Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LCX trades below its calculated fair value: price C$1.85, fair value C$2.00, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LCX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$2.00). For Lycos Energy Inc. the two are C$0.1500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lycos Energy Inc. worth?
The market values Lycos Energy Inc. at about C$258M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$1.85; our models calculate a fair value of C$2.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LCX?
Our models span a range for Lycos Energy Inc.: cautious scenario C$1.16, base C$2.00, optimistic C$3.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$1.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LCX?
Lycos Energy Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$2.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lycos Energy Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LCX from its 52-week high?
Lycos Energy Inc. trades at C$1.85, about 28% below its 52-week high of C$2.57 and 236% above the low of C$0.5500 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$2.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lycos Energy Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lycos Energy Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$1.85, calculated fair value C$2.00 (+8%), Quality Score 33/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LCX calculated?
We run Lycos Energy Inc. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$2.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lycos Energy Inc. currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$1.85. Our model-based fair value is C$2.00, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lycos Energy Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (C$1.16 to C$3.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Lycos Energy Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The market capitalisation of Lycos Energy Inc. is C$258M (≈ $183M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lycos Energy Inc. is 5.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Earnings per share at Lycos Energy Inc. are C$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The net margin of Lycos Energy Inc. is −59.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lycos Energy Inc. is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lycos Energy Inc. is −384% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
The operating margin of Lycos Energy Inc. is 27.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Revenue at Lycos Energy Inc. is growing −27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX)?
Earnings per share at Lycos Energy Inc. are growing −33.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lycos Energy Inc. (LCX) carry?
The net debt of Lycos Energy Inc. is C$2.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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