AEye, Inc (LIDR) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $67.2M

Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• A fairly wide model range ($0.9690 to $1.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5091 – $321.90 · fair‑value band $0.9690 – $1.84 · the $1.32 price screens below the $1.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

AEye, Inc (LIDR) currently trades at $1.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.47, implying the stock looks roughly 11.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $270K. Revenue grew 57.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -75.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $42.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.9690 (bear case) to $1.84 (bull case); at $1.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 11%, LIDR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.18) versus Dividend Discount ($1.14). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AEye, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides physical AI sensing solutions for vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), robotic vision applications, and non-automotive applications in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

AEye, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides physical AI sensing solutions for vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), robotic vision applications, and non-automotive applications in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers Apollo, an intelligent sensing lidar platform for ADAS and autonomous vehicles applications, as well as non-automotive market, including rail, construction, mining and agriculture, aerospace and defense, security and foreign object detection, and intelligent transportation systems. It also provides STRATOS for applications requiring enhanced long-distance performance comprising certain automotive, infrastructure, aviation, industrial, and defense sensing environments; and OPTIS, a full-stack physical AI solution for the non-automotive market. It sells its products through direct sales in the automotive and non-automotive markets; and system integrator channel partners for the non-automotive market. AEye, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AEye, Inc reported revenue of $233K in FY2025 versus $3.0M in FY2021, a compound −47.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.0M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.