Aeye Inc (LIDR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Aeye Inc $1.46, price $1.18, upside +23.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5091 – $321.90 · fair‑value band $0.9605 – $1.82 · the $1.18 price screens below the $1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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AEye, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides physical AI sensing solutions for vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), robotic vision applications, and non-automotive applications in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
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AEye, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides physical AI sensing solutions for vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), robotic vision applications, and non-automotive applications in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers Apollo, an intelligent sensing lidar platform for ADAS and autonomous vehicles applications, as well as non-automotive market, including rail, construction, mining and agriculture, aerospace and defense, security and foreign object detection, and intelligent transportation systems. It also provides STRATOS for applications requiring enhanced long-distance performance comprising certain automotive, infrastructure, aviation, industrial, and defense sensing environments; and OPTIS, a full-stack physical AI solution for the non-automotive market. It sells its products through direct sales in the automotive and non-automotive markets; and system integrator channel partners for the non-automotive market. AEye, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
Stock analysis
Aeye Inc (LIDR) currently trades at $1.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 19.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.9605 (bear) to $1.82 (bull), the price of $1.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Aeye Inc reported revenue of $233K in FY2025 versus $3.0M in FY2021, a compound −47.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.0M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 24%, LIDR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9605Fair Value $1.46Bull $1.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−60.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.4%
’19
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’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,677.1% (2020) → −13,618.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+24% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth818% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aeye Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIDR
Frequently asked questions
Is Aeye Inc (LIDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.46 versus a price of $1.18, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LIDR?
Our model-based fair value for Aeye Inc is $1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.18.
What is the quality score of LIDR?
Aeye Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9605, optimistic scenario $1.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aeye Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.46, about +24% upside versus a price of $1.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9605, optimistic scenario $1.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Aeye Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $450K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aeye Inc it is $1.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.18. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aeye Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LIDR trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.18, fair value $1.46, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LIDR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.46). For Aeye Inc the two are $0.2820 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aeye Inc worth?
The market values Aeye Inc at about $54.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.18; our models calculate a fair value of $1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LIDR?
Our models span a range for Aeye Inc: cautious scenario $0.9605, base $1.46, optimistic $1.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aeye Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −89.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LIDR from its 52-week high?
Aeye Inc trades at $1.18, about 65% below its 52-week high of $3.35 and 16% above the low of $1.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aeye Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aeye Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.18, calculated fair value $1.46 (+24%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LIDR calculated?
We run Aeye Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Aeye Inc currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.18. Our model-based fair value is $1.46, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aeye Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.9605 to $1.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Aeye Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
The market capitalisation of Aeye Inc is $54.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Earnings per share at Aeye Inc are $−0.9000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aeye Inc is −89.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aeye Inc is −87.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
The operating margin of Aeye Inc is −5,324% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aeye Inc (LIDR)?
Revenue at Aeye Inc is growing +818% versus a year earlier (3y avg −60.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aeye Inc (LIDR) generate?
The free cash flow of Aeye Inc is −$27.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aeye Inc (LIDR) hold?
Aeye Inc holds more cash than debt, $42.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026