Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lion One Metals Limited C$0.23, price C$0.19, upside +24.1%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1200 – C$1.58 · fair‑value band C$0.1785 – C$0.3485 · the C$0.1850 price screens below the C$0.2295 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lion One Metals Limited engages in mine development and exploration of mineral properties in Fiji. Its primary asset is the 100% owned Tuvatu Gold project, which comprise four exploration licenses located on the island of Viti Levu in Fiji. The company is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) currently trades at C$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2295, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: C$0.1785 (bear) to C$0.3485 (bull), the price of C$0.1850 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Lion One Metals Limited reported revenue of C$14.8M in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$27.3M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap C$72.5M (≈ $51.3M) · P/E ratio 6.2 · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0300 · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% · Operating margin 26.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 24%, LIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.1785Fair Value C$0.2295Bull C$0.3485
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Lion One Metals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+24% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)14% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lion One Metals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIO
Frequently asked questions
Is Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.2295 versus a price of C$0.1850, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LIO?
Our model-based fair value for Lion One Metals Limited is C$0.2295 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1850.
What is the quality score of LIO?
Lion One Metals Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.2295 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1785, optimistic scenario C$0.3485. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lion One Metals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.2295, about +24% upside versus a price of C$0.1850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1785, optimistic scenario C$0.3485. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lion One Metals Limited it is C$0.2295 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.1850. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lion One Metals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LIO trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.1850, fair value C$0.2295, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LIO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.2295). For Lion One Metals Limited the two are C$0.0445 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lion One Metals Limited worth?
The market values Lion One Metals Limited at about C$72.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1850; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.2295 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LIO?
Our models span a range for Lion One Metals Limited: cautious scenario C$0.1785, base C$0.2295, optimistic C$0.3485 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.1850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LIO?
Lion One Metals Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.2295 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 1.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lion One Metals Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LIO from its 52-week high?
Lion One Metals Limited trades at C$0.1850, about 51% below its 52-week high of C$0.3800 and 54% above the low of C$0.1200 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.2295 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lion One Metals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lion One Metals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.1850, calculated fair value C$0.2295 (+24%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LIO calculated?
We run Lion One Metals Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.2295, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lion One Metals Limited currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$0.1850. Our model-based fair value is C$0.2295, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lion One Metals Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (C$0.1785 to C$0.3485) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Lion One Metals Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The market capitalisation of Lion One Metals Limited is C$72.5M (≈ $51.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lion One Metals Limited is 1.01 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Earnings per share at Lion One Metals Limited are C$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The net margin of Lion One Metals Limited is 14.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lion One Metals Limited is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lion One Metals Limited is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
The operating margin of Lion One Metals Limited is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
Revenue at Lion One Metals Limited is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) generate?
The free cash flow of Lion One Metals Limited is −C$58.0M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) carry?
The net debt of Lion One Metals Limited is C$35.7M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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