Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$56.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +20.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 58% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.1785). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.1785 to C$0.3485) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1200 – C$1.58 · fair‑value band C$0.1785 – C$0.3485 · the C$0.1450 price screens below the C$0.2295 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) currently trades at C$0.1450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2295, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lion One Metals Limited generated revenue of C$71.8M at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at C$35.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1785 (bear case) to C$0.3485 (bull case); at C$0.1450, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 58%, LIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when LIO reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lion One Metals Limited engages in mine development and exploration of mineral properties in Fiji. Its primary asset is the 100% owned Tuvatu Gold project, which comprise four exploration licenses located on the island of Viti Levu in Fiji. The company is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Lion One Metals Limited reported revenue of C$14.8M in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$27.3M in FY2024.
Watch LIO: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
Compare Lion One Metals Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Lion One Metals Limited (LIO) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of LIO?
What is the quality score of LIO?
What is the revenue of Lion One Metals Limited (LIO)?
What is the net profit margin of LIO?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Lion One Metals Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.