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Empresas Lipigas S.A (LIPIGAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CL · Market cap 946B CLP

EL Empresas Lipigas S.A LIPIGAS · SN
Price8,550 CLP
Fair Value9,297 CLP
Upside+8.7%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range 6,653 CLP – 12,706 CLP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (6,653 CLP to 12,706 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8,600 CLP 1,212 CLP Fair Value 9,297 CLP Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,212 CLP – 8,600 CLP · fair‑value band 6,653 CLP – 12,706 CLP · the 8,550 CLP price screens below the 9,297 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Empresas Lipigas S.A (LIPIGAS) currently trades at 8,550 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,297 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas Lipigas S.A generated revenue of 937B CLP at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.9%. Net debt stands at 145B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6,653 CLP (bear case) to 12,706 CLP (bull case); at 8,550 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 9%, LIPIGAS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11,896 CLP 20,878 CLP 36,244 CLP 80
Residual Income 5,201 CLP 7,349 CLP 66,396 CLP 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7,568 CLP 12,583 CLP 18,686 CLP 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 11,759 CLP 20,843 CLP 36,209 CLP 38
Owner Earnings 5,547 CLP 10,279 CLP 18,283 CLP 31
5Y Revenue Exit 7,568 CLP 12,546 CLP 18,941 CLP 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 6,737 CLP 10,926 CLP 15,823 CLP 41
5Y P/E Exit 7,452 CLP 12,321 CLP 17,535 CLP 38
10Y Revenue Exit 8,641 CLP 13,729 CLP 20,758 CLP 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 8,325 CLP 12,552 CLP 18,226 CLP 37
10Y P/E Exit 8,799 CLP 13,565 CLP 19,617 CLP 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4,726 CLP 17,722 CLP 23,969 CLP 54
Lynch FV 4,276 CLP 6,109 CLP 7,941 CLP 50
PEG = 1.0 4,276 CLP 6,109 CLP 7,941 CLP 46
EPV 7,749 CLP 9,330 CLP 10,735 CLP 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7,297 CLP 9,729 CLP 12,162 CLP 63
P/S Multiple 7,485 CLP 9,980 CLP 12,476 CLP 58
P/B Multiple 2,872 CLP 3,829 CLP 4,786 CLP 55
EV/EBIT 6,726 CLP 9,370 CLP 12,014 CLP 53
EV/EBITDA 4,923 CLP 6,967 CLP 9,010 CLP 54
EV/Revenue 5,779 CLP 8,773 CLP 11,768 CLP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,064 CLP 1,425 CLP 2,127 CLP 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11,896 CLP 20,878 CLP 36,244 CLP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7,568 CLP 12,583 CLP 18,686 CLP 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5,201 CLP 7,349 CLP 66,396 CLP 76
ROIC Compounder 8,669 CLP 11,698 CLP 15,429 CLP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6,282 CLP 8,974 CLP 11,666 CLP 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (12,583 CLP) versus Asset-Based (1,425 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 937B CLP
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 33.9%
Free cash flow 117B CLP FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) 733.00 CLP
EPS growth (YoY) +35.6%
Net debt 145B CLP FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Empresas Lipigas S.A. provides energy solutions through the marketing, distribution, and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas (NG), liquefied natural gas (LNG), and electricity for residential, commercial, and industrial use in Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador.

Full company description

Empresas Lipigas S.A. provides energy solutions through the marketing, distribution, and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas (NG), liquefied natural gas (LNG), and electricity for residential, commercial, and industrial use in Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador. The company engages in the commercialization and distribution of LPG through cylinders and bulk. It also provides compressed natural gas for vehicles and industrial clients; and natural gas based electric energy. Empresas Lipigas S.A. was founded in 1950 and is based in Las Condes, Chile.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Empresas Lipigas S.A reported revenue of 945B CLP in FY2025 versus 696B CLP in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 78.9B CLP in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
945B CLP
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+9.2%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 696B CLP
FY22 855B CLP
FY23 739B CLP
FY24 890B CLP
FY25 945B CLP
Net income +14.8%/yr
FY21 45.5B CLP
FY22 39.2B CLP
FY23 38.0B CLP
FY24 62.0B CLP
FY25 78.9B CLP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Empresas Lipigas S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIPIGAS

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.05× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 45 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 15
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 47 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Empresas Lipigas S.A (LIPIGAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,297 CLP versus a price of 8,550 CLP, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LIPIGAS?
Our model-based fair value for Empresas Lipigas S.A is 9,297 CLP (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 8,550 CLP.
What is the quality score of LIPIGAS?
Empresas Lipigas S.A has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Empresas Lipigas S.A (LIPIGAS)?
Empresas Lipigas S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 937B CLP (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LIPIGAS?
The net profit margin of Empresas Lipigas S.A is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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