Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Empresas Lipigas S.A. CLP 9,736, price CLP 8,904, upside +9.3%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,212 CLP – 9,044 CLP · fair‑value band 6,967 CLP – 20,695 CLP · the 8,904 CLP price screens below the 9,736 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Empresas Lipigas S.A. provides energy solutions through the marketing, distribution, and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas (NG), liquefied natural gas (LNG), and electricity for residential, commercial, and industrial use in Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador.
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Empresas Lipigas S.A. provides energy solutions through the marketing, distribution, and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas (NG), liquefied natural gas (LNG), and electricity for residential, commercial, and industrial use in Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador. The company engages in the commercialization and distribution of LPG through cylinders and bulk. It also provides compressed natural gas for vehicles and industrial clients; and natural gas based electric energy. Empresas Lipigas S.A. was founded in 1950 and is based in Las Condes, Chile.
Stock analysis
Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) currently trades at 8,904 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,736 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 13,327 CLP per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 8,904 CLP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,425 CLP, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 6,967 CLP (bear) to 20,695 CLP (bull), the price of 8,904 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Empresas Lipigas S.A. reported revenue of 945B CLP in FY2025 versus 696B CLP in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 78.9B CLP in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0T CLP (≈ $1.0B) · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) 733.00 CLP · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 33.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 12.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 9%, LIPIGAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6,967 CLPFair Value 9,736 CLPBull 20,695 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (536.19 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 13%
2025 sits 101% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.05× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
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Is Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,736 CLP versus a price of 8,904 CLP, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LIPIGAS?
Our model-based fair value for Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 9,736 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8,904 CLP.
What is the quality score of LIPIGAS?
Empresas Lipigas S.A. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9,736 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,967 CLP, optimistic scenario 20,695 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Empresas Lipigas S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9,736 CLP, about +9% upside versus a price of 8,904 CLP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 6,967 CLP, optimistic scenario 20,695 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Empresas Lipigas S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 937B CLP (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Empresas Lipigas S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by -6.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LIPIGAS use?
Our models discount Empresas Lipigas S.A. at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Empresas Lipigas S.A. that is -6.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Empresas Lipigas S.A. grew +13.2 % a year. The price currently implies -6.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Empresas Lipigas S.A. (-6.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.52 %: that much free cash flow Empresas Lipigas S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Empresas Lipigas S.A. it is 9,736 CLP per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 8,904 CLP. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Empresas Lipigas S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LIPIGAS trades below its calculated fair value: price 8,904 CLP, fair value 9,736 CLP, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LIPIGAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8,904 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9,736 CLP). For Empresas Lipigas S.A. the two are 831.35 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Empresas Lipigas S.A. worth?
The market values Empresas Lipigas S.A. at about 1.0T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 8,904 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 9,736 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LIPIGAS?
Our models span a range for Empresas Lipigas S.A.: cautious scenario 6,967 CLP, base 9,736 CLP, optimistic 20,695 CLP per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 8,904 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LIPIGAS?
Empresas Lipigas S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9,736 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Empresas Lipigas S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 33.9%, debt of 1.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LIPIGAS from its 52-week high?
Empresas Lipigas S.A. trades at 8,904 CLP, about 2% below its 52-week high of 9,044 CLP and 54% above the low of 5,784 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9,736 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Empresas Lipigas S.A.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Empresas Lipigas S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 8,904 CLP, calculated fair value 9,736 CLP (+9%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LIPIGAS calculated?
We run Empresas Lipigas S.A. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9,736 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Empresas Lipigas S.A. currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 8,904 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 9,736 CLP, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Empresas Lipigas S.A. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (6,967 CLP to 20,695 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Empresas Lipigas S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The market capitalisation of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 1.0T CLP (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Earnings per share at Empresas Lipigas S.A. are 733.00 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The net margin of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 33.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
The operating margin of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Revenue at Empresas Lipigas S.A. is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS)?
Earnings per share at Empresas Lipigas S.A. are growing +35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Empresas Lipigas S.A. (LIPIGAS) carry?
The net debt of Empresas Lipigas S.A. is 145B CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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