Lithium Chile Inc (LITH) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$147M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from C$0.3700 (bear) to C$0.6100 (bull), base C$0.4900. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2608 – C$1.11 · fair‑value band C$0.3700 – C$0.6100 · the C$0.5900 price screens above the C$0.4900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Lithium Chile Inc (LITH) currently trades at C$0.5900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4900, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$16.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.3700 (bear case) to C$0.6100 (bull case); at C$0.5900, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -17%, LITH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$1.23) versus Asset-Based (C$0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lithium Chile Inc. engages in the acquisition, advancement and development of mineral properties in Chile and Argentina. The company explores for gold, silver, and copper deposits. It holds interests in lithium property portfolio consisting of approximately 108,178 hectares in Chile and 29,245 hectares in Argentina.
Full company description
Lithium Chile Inc. engages in the acquisition, advancement and development of mineral properties in Chile and Argentina. The company explores for gold, silver, and copper deposits. It holds interests in lithium property portfolio consisting of approximately 108,178 hectares in Chile and 29,245 hectares in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Kairos Capital Corporation and changed its name to Lithium Chile Inc. in December 2017. Lithium Chile Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lithium Chile Inc reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was C$6.4M in FY2025.
LITH screens 17% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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