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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · US · ISIN US5312297485

LL Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock

LLYVA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $38.35 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −98.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -88.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$104.99 $29.52 Fair Value $38.35 Aug 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $29.52 – $104.99 · fair‑value band $27.10 – $49.61 · the $93.01 price screens above the $38.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors.

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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

Stock analysis

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) currently trades at $93.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.35, implying the stock looks roughly 142.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 85/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $27.10 (bear) to $49.61 (bull), the price of $93.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock reported revenue of $382M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −$87.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $8.5B · P/S ratio 23.0 · EPS (TTM) $−3.83 · Net margin −22.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −26.2% · Revenue (TTM) $399M · Revenue growth (YoY) +35.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −59%, LLYVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.10 Fair Value $38.35 Bull $49.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $45.25 $56.50 $67.75 64
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $45.25 $56.50 $67.75 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LLYVA screens 143% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −26% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 23.00× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $77.90 $85.69 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.97 $80.62 −23%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $28.03 $10.00 −64%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.24 $54.61 −68%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.82 €16.30 +10%
TKO Group TKO $190.13 $95.50 −50%
Formula One Group FWONK $95.36 $104.90 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $66.16 $206.81 +213%
Roku, Inc ROKU $155.12 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$47.24 A$28.63 −39%

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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock · Fair Value
$38.35 −143%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLYVA

Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.35 versus a price of $93.01, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LLYVA?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $38.35 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $93.01.
What is the quality score of LLYVA?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $38.35 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.10, optimistic scenario $49.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $38.35, about −59% upside versus a price of $93.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.10, optimistic scenario $49.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $399M (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock it is $38.35 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $93.01. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, LLYVA trades above its calculated fair value: price $93.01, fair value $38.35, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LLYVA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($93.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($38.35). For Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock the two are $54.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock worth?
The market values Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock at about $8.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $93.01; our models calculate a fair value of $38.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LLYVA?
Our models span a range for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock: cautious scenario $27.10, base $38.35, optimistic $49.61 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $93.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is LLYVA from its 52-week high?
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock trades at $93.01, about 7% below its 52-week high of $99.82 and 29% above the low of $72.09 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $38.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $93.01, calculated fair value $38.35 (−59%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LLYVA calculated?
We run Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $38.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $93.01. Our model-based fair value is $38.35, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($27.10 to $49.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
The market capitalisation of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $8.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is 23.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
Earnings per share at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock are $−3.83. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
The net margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −22.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
The operating margin of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −26.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA)?
Revenue at Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is growing +35.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) generate?
The free cash flow of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is −$29.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) carry?
The net debt of Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock is $612M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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