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Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $9.2B

LL Liberty Live Holdings logo Liberty Live Holdings LLYVA · US
Price$99.61
Fair Value$38.35
Upside-61.5%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -88.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $27.10 – $49.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($27.10 to $49.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$104.11 $29.52 Fair Value $38.35 Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range $29.52 – $104.11 · fair‑value band $27.10 – $49.61 · the $99.61 price screens above the $38.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVA) currently trades at $99.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.35, implying the stock looks roughly 61.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Liberty Live Holdings generated revenue of $399M at a net margin of -88.2%. Revenue grew 35.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $612M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.10 (bear case) to $49.61 (bull case); at $99.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -62%, LLYVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $48.06 $60.25 $72.44 54
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $48.06 $60.25 $72.44 54

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $399M
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.2%
Net margin -88.2%
Free cash flow −$29.5M FY2025
Operating margin -26.2%
EPS (TTM) $-3.83
More key figures
Net debt $612M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors.

Full company description

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Liberty Live Holdings reported revenue of $382M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −$87.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$382M
Latest YoY
−98.4%
Revenue
FY23 $0
FY24 $23.2B
FY25 $382M
Net income
FY21 −$358K
FY22 $1.3M
FY23 −$142M
FY24 −$31.0M
FY25 −$87.0M

LLYVA screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Live Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLYVA

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -88% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 23.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 10
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹235.99 ₹61.98 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.35 versus a price of $99.61, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LLYVA?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Live Holdings is $38.35 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $99.61.
What is the quality score of LLYVA?
Liberty Live Holdings has a Quality Score of 45/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Liberty Live Holdings (LLYVA)?
Liberty Live Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $399M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LLYVA?
The net profit margin of Liberty Live Holdings is about -88.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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