Latrobe Magnesium Limited (LMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$46.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −33.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0121). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.1600 · the A$0.0090 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Latrobe Magnesium Limited (LMG) currently trades at A$0.0090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$2.7M. Revenue declined 58.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. Net debt stands at A$5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -6%, LMG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0400) versus DCF Models (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Latrobe Magnesium Limited engages in the construction and commissioning of a production plant for the extraction of magnesium metal and by-products from magnesium rich waste feedstocks. It holds interests in the Latrobe magnesium project located in the Latrobe Valley in Victoria. The company was formerly known as Rambora Technologies Ltd.
Full company description
Latrobe Magnesium Limited engages in the construction and commissioning of a production plant for the extraction of magnesium metal and by-products from magnesium rich waste feedstocks. It holds interests in the Latrobe magnesium project located in the Latrobe Valley in Victoria. The company was formerly known as Rambora Technologies Ltd. Latrobe Magnesium Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Hazelwood, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Latrobe Magnesium Limited reported revenue of A$2.7M in FY2025 versus A$823K in FY2021, a compound +34.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 38/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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