Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Longfor Group Holdings Limited $1.58, price $0.82, upside +93.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7642 – $4.69 · fair‑value band $0.8300 – $2.63 · the $0.8167 price screens below the $1.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Longfor Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property operation, asset management, property management, and smart construction businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Property Development, Investment Property Operation, and Property Service.
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Longfor Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property operation, asset management, property management, and smart construction businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Property Development, Investment Property Operation, and Property Service. The Property Development segment develops and sells office and commercial premises, and residential properties. The Investment Property Operation segment leases investment properties, including shopping malls and rental housing. The Property Service segment provides property management and related services. It also owns hotel properties. The company was formerly known as Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Longfor Group Holdings Limited in June 2018. Longfor Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) currently trades at $0.8167, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.58, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.37 per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.8167 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.2200, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8300 (bear) to $2.63 (bull), the price of $0.8167 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Longfor Group Holdings Limited reported revenue of 94.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 223B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was 995M CNY in FY2025, compounding −54.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.3B · P/E ratio 4.8 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $0.1700 · Dividend yield 8.6% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 93%, LNGPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8300Fair Value $1.58Bull $2.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0756 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−4.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.4% vs −2.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 3%
Compare Longfor Group Holdings Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+138.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−3.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−52.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)8.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Longfor Group Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LNGPF
Frequently asked questions
Is Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.58 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.8167, about +93% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LNGPF?
Our model-based fair value for Longfor Group Holdings Limited is $1.58 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.8167.
What is the quality score of LNGPF?
Longfor Group Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.58 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $2.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Longfor Group Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.58, about +93% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.8167 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $2.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Longfor Group Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Longfor Group Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
Longfor Group Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Longfor Group Holdings Limited it is $1.58 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.8167. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Longfor Group Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, LNGPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8167, fair value $1.58, a gap of about +93% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LNGPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8167); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.58). For Longfor Group Holdings Limited the two are $0.7633 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Longfor Group Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Longfor Group Holdings Limited at about $9.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.8167; our models calculate a fair value of $1.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LNGPF?
Our models span a range for Longfor Group Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.8300, base $1.58, optimistic $2.63 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.8167). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LNGPF?
Longfor Group Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4.
What is the PEG ratio of LNGPF?
The PEG ratio of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 2.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Longfor Group Holdings Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LNGPF from its 52-week high?
Longfor Group Holdings Limited trades at $0.8167, about 40% below its 52-week high of $1.35 and 7% above the low of $0.7642 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Longfor Group Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Longfor Group Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.8167, calculated fair value $1.58 (+93%), Quality Score 52/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LNGPF calculated?
We run Longfor Group Holdings Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Longfor Group Holdings Limited currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.8167. Our model-based fair value is $1.58, about +93% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Longfor Group Holdings Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.8300 to $2.63). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) come from?
Earnings per share at Longfor Group Holdings Limited grew +1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.2 %, EBIT margin −10.1 %, tax rate −1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Longfor Group Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The market capitalisation of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is $9.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Earnings per share at Longfor Group Holdings Limited are $0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The dividend yield of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 8.6% (payout 41.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The net margin of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
The operating margin of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Revenue at Longfor Group Holdings Limited is growing −52.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF)?
Earnings per share at Longfor Group Holdings Limited are growing −46.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) generate?
The free cash flow of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is $21.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Longfor Group Holdings Limited (LNGPF) carry?
The net debt of Longfor Group Holdings Limited is $137B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026