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Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft €63.60, price €21.20, upside +200.0%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · AT · ISIN AT0000644505

LA Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft

LNZ · VI

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value €63.60 · Strongly undervalued (+200%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.5% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€90.33 €19.62 Fair Value €63.60 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €19.62 – €90.33 · fair‑value band €46.36 – €79.79 · the €21.20 price screens below the €63.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Lenzing, together with its subsidiaries, produces and markets regenerated cellulosic fibers for textiles and nonwovens. The company operates through Division Fiber, Division Pulp, and Others segments.

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Lenzing, together with its subsidiaries, produces and markets regenerated cellulosic fibers for textiles and nonwovens. The company operates through Division Fiber, Division Pulp, and Others segments. It offers lyocell, modal, and viscose fibers for application in textiles and nonwovens products, such as denim, activewear, intimates, haute couture and footwear, home and interiors, luxury textiles, and workwear; body care, intimate hygiene comprising baby wipes, surface cleaning, beauty and personal care, facial sheet masks, and cosmetic wipes; and protective clothing, engineered products, packaging, filtration as well as medical and industrial applications, and automotive interiors under the TENCEL, VEOCEL, LENZING ECOVERO, and LENZING brand names. The company also provides biorefinery products, including acetic acid biobased, furfural biobased, magnesium-lignosulphonate biobased, soda ash, sodium sulphate, and xylose. In addition, it engages in training and personnel development activities and converts renewable electricity directly into process heat. The company operates in Austria; rest of Europe; Asia; North, Central, and South America; and internationally. Lenzing was formerly known as Chemiefaser Lenzing AG and changed its name to Lenzing in 1984. Lenzing was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Lenzing, Austria.

Stock analysis

Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) currently trades at €21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €63.60, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €55.26 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the €21.20 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €6.75, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €46.36 (bear) to €79.79 (bull), the price of €21.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €2.6B in FY2025 versus €2.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€172M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €965M · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) €−5.56 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 6.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 200%, LNZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €46.36 Fair Value €63.60 Bull €79.79
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €72.09 €92.88 €128.41 81
Growth DCF €74.02 €93.80 €124.99 80
Owner Earnings €11.65 €15.85 €23.03 77
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €72.09 €92.88 €128.41 81
Owner Earnings €11.65 €15.85 €23.03 77
5Y Revenue Exit €32.36 €36.78 €43.08 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €61.76 €86.89 €119.88 76
10Y Revenue Exit €48.98 €55.26 €61.18 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €65.67 €85.53 €107.50 70
Earnings-Based
EPV n/a n/a €0.0700 68
Multiples
EV/EBIT €4.15 €6.75 €9.35 64
EV/EBITDA €63.14 €85.40 €107.66 67
EV/Revenue €3.12 €6.01 €8.91 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €12.63 €16.93 €25.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €74.02 €93.80 €124.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF €32.36 €38.60 €47.70 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a €0.0700 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2020) → 1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.0% a year for the price and −0.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.5%

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Earlier news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (32 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 349 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)58 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$34.58 HK$74.44 +115%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.92 ¥14.53 −39%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥13.02 ¥14.35 +10%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,121 ₹934.98 −17%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.74 ¥2.46 −48%
Albany International Corp AIN $60.22 $24.73 −59%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹551.20 ₹291.49 −47%
Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 ¥7.16 ¥7.87 +10%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 60.10 TWD 135.63 TWD +126%
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co 000949 ¥6.93 ¥2.03 −71%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LNZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €63.60 versus a price of €21.20, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LNZ?
Our model-based fair value for Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is €63.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €21.20.
What is the quality score of LNZ?
Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €63.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €46.36, optimistic scenario €79.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €63.60, about +200% upside versus a price of €21.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €46.36, optimistic scenario €79.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft would have to grow free cash flow by -18.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LNZ use?
Our models discount Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Austria. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft that is -18.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft grew +9.8 % a year. The price currently implies -18.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (-18.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 34.04 %: that much free cash flow Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft it is €63.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €21.20. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LNZ trades below its calculated fair value: price €21.20, fair value €63.60, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LNZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€21.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€63.60). For Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft the two are €42.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft at about €965M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €21.20; our models calculate a fair value of €63.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LNZ?
Our models span a range for Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €46.36, base €63.60, optimistic €79.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €21.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −12.4%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LNZ from its 52-week high?
Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft trades at €21.20, about 27% below its 52-week high of €29.00 and 8% above the low of €19.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €63.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €21.20, calculated fair value €63.60 (+200%), Quality Score 38/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LNZ calculated?
We run Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €63.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €21.20. Our model-based fair value is €63.60, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€46.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft

How large is the market capitalisation of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The market capitalisation of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is €965M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Earnings per share at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft are €−5.56. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The dividend yield of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The net margin of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is −12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
The operating margin of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Revenue at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is growing −10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ)?
Earnings per share at Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft are growing −91.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft (LNZ) carry?
The net debt of Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft is €230M (fiscal year 2018, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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