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Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Lovisagruvan AB SEK 9.82, price SEK 10.30, upside -4.7%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · SE

LA Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Lovisagruvan AB

LOVI · ST

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value kr 9.82 · Fairly valued (−4.7%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −27.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 27 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 46.00 kr 6.30 Fair Value kr 9.82 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 6.30 – kr 46.00 · fair‑value band kr 7.32 – kr 14.64 · the kr 10.30 price screens above the kr 9.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Lovisagruvan AB (publ) engages in mining activities in Sweden. The company primarily explores for zinc, lead, silver, copper, gold, zircon, and titanium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Landlord Joint Venture located in Kiruna City; and 20% interest in Sea Happiness located in Måsalycke in Tomelilla municipality in Skåne.

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Lovisagruvan AB (publ) engages in mining activities in Sweden. The company primarily explores for zinc, lead, silver, copper, gold, zircon, and titanium deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Landlord Joint Venture located in Kiruna City; and 20% interest in Sea Happiness located in Måsalycke in Tomelilla municipality in Skåne. The company also holds interest in Windfall located in south of Forsbacka in Gävle municipality and Gävleborg county covering an area of over 19 hectares. Lovisagruvan AB (publ) was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Stråssa, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI) currently trades at kr 10.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 9.82, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 7.32 (bear) to kr 14.64 (bull), the price of kr 10.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lovisagruvan AB reported revenue of 18.9M SEK in FY2025 versus 48.7M SEK in FY2022, a compound −27.0%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 40.4M SEK (≈ $4.1M) · P/S ratio 1.54 · EPS (TTM) kr −4.76 · Net margin −6.2% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −30.3% · Revenue (TTM) 26.9M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −5%, LOVI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 7.32 Fair Value kr 9.82 Bull kr 14.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 6.09 kr 8.16 kr 12.17 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 6.09 kr 8.16 kr 12.17 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
38.6% (2022) → −120.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 442 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −17.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −30.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)27 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)71 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
Vale S.A XVALO €11.99 €8.05 −33%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%

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Lovisagruvan AB · Fair Value
kr 9.82 −5%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lovisagruvan AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOVI

Frequently asked questions

Is Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 9.82 versus a price of kr 10.30, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LOVI?
Our model-based fair value for Lovisagruvan AB is kr 9.82 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 10.30.
What is the quality score of LOVI?
Lovisagruvan AB has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 9.82 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 7.32, optimistic scenario kr 14.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lovisagruvan AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 9.82, about −5% upside versus a price of kr 10.30 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 7.32, optimistic scenario kr 14.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Lovisagruvan AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.9M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lovisagruvan AB it is kr 9.82 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of kr 10.30. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lovisagruvan AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, LOVI trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 10.30, fair value kr 9.82, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOVI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 10.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 9.82). For Lovisagruvan AB the two are kr 0.4800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lovisagruvan AB worth?
The market values Lovisagruvan AB at about 40.4M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is kr 10.30; our models calculate a fair value of kr 9.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOVI?
Our models span a range for Lovisagruvan AB: cautious scenario kr 7.32, base kr 9.82, optimistic kr 14.64 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price kr 10.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lovisagruvan AB (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOVI from its 52-week high?
Lovisagruvan AB trades at kr 10.30, about 71% below its 52-week high of kr 35.20 and 63% above the low of kr 6.30 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 9.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lovisagruvan AB?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, Vale S.A, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lovisagruvan AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price kr 10.30, calculated fair value kr 9.82 (−5%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOVI calculated?
We run Lovisagruvan AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 9.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lovisagruvan AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was kr 10.30. Our model-based fair value is kr 9.82, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lovisagruvan AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (kr 7.32 to kr 14.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lovisagruvan AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The market capitalisation of Lovisagruvan AB is 40.4M SEK (≈ $4.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lovisagruvan AB is 1.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Earnings per share at Lovisagruvan AB are kr −4.76. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The net margin of Lovisagruvan AB is −6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lovisagruvan AB is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lovisagruvan AB is −1.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
The operating margin of Lovisagruvan AB is −30.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI)?
Revenue at Lovisagruvan AB is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lovisagruvan AB (LOVI) generate?
The free cash flow of Lovisagruvan AB is −22.6M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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