Lantronix, Inc (LTRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $296M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +12.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.96 – $9.97 · fair‑value band $1.34 – $2.38 · the $5.97 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Lantronix, Inc (LTRX) currently trades at $5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lantronix, Inc generated revenue of $119M at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. Net debt stands at $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.34 (bear case) to $2.38 (bull case); at $5.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -70%, LTRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan.
Full company description
Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan. The company's embedded IoT solutions provides embedded products, including compute system-on-module and system-in-package solutions; and IoT compute products which offers application processing solutions for data transformation, computer vision, machine learning, augmented/virtual reality, and custom applications, as well as software tools for industrial automation, automotive systems, and smart city infrastructure. It also provides IoT Systems Solutions, which include wired and wireless connections which enhances modern electronic systems and equipment by providing secure network connectivity, power for IoT end devices through power over ethernet (PoE), application hosting, protocol conversion, media conversion, secure access for distributed IoT deployments, and other functions; PoE products for support of remote devices, such as camera and wireless access points; smart tracking devices; and advanced out-of-band products, including console and power management, and IP-connected keyboard-video-mouse. In addition, the company offers a SaaS platform that enables customers to deploy, monitor, manage, and automate deployments; multitenancy functionality for support of customer separation and data security; and multidisciplinary engineering services for IoT product development, including hardware, software, mechanical engineering, rapid prototyping, and quality assurance. The company has a strategic partnership with Safe Pro Group Inc. to develop autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems; has a collaboration with Cherry & White to Launch rapid Wi-Fi platform that brings enterprise-grade connectivity to critical infrastructure in minutes. Lantronix, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Irvine, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lantronix, Inc reported revenue of $123M in FY2025 versus $71.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.4M in FY2025.
LTRX screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Vecima to sell Telematics business to Lantronix for about C$16.5M
- Here’s why Lantronix, Inc. (LTRX) is an Underappreciated High Growth Micro-Cap Stock to Buy Now
- Lantronix India Celebrates 10 Years of Innovation, Engineering Excellence and Strategic Growth
- Lantronix, Inc. (LTRX): 10 Under-the-Radar AI Stocks to Buy in 2026
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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