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Lantronix Inc (LTRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lantronix Inc $1.83, price $6.60, upside -72.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US5165482036

LI Lantronix Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Lantronix Inc

LTRX · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.83 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.97 $1.96 Fair Value $1.83 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.96 – $9.97 · fair‑value band $1.37 – $2.40 · the $6.60 price screens above the $1.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan.

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Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan. The company's embedded IoT solutions provides embedded products, including compute system-on-module and system-in-package solutions; and IoT compute products which offers application processing solutions for data transformation, computer vision, machine learning, augmented/virtual reality, and custom applications, as well as software tools for industrial automation, automotive systems, and smart city infrastructure. It also provides IoT Systems Solutions, which include wired and wireless connections which enhances modern electronic systems and equipment by providing secure network connectivity, power for IoT end devices through power over ethernet (PoE), application hosting, protocol conversion, media conversion, secure access for distributed IoT deployments, and other functions; PoE products for support of remote devices, such as camera and wireless access points; smart tracking devices; and advanced out-of-band products, including console and power management, and IP-connected keyboard-video-mouse. In addition, the company offers a SaaS platform that enables customers to deploy, monitor, manage, and automate deployments; multitenancy functionality for support of customer separation and data security; and multidisciplinary engineering services for IoT product development, including hardware, software, mechanical engineering, rapid prototyping, and quality assurance. The company has a strategic partnership with Safe Pro Group Inc. to develop autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems; has a collaboration with Cherry & White to Launch rapid Wi-Fi platform that brings enterprise-grade connectivity to critical infrastructure in minutes. Lantronix, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Irvine, California.

Stock analysis

Lantronix Inc (LTRX) currently trades at $6.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.83, implying the stock looks roughly 260.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $2.23 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $6.60 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.12, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.37 (bear) to $2.40 (bull), the price of $6.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Lantronix Inc reported revenue of $123M in FY2025 versus $71.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $296M · P/S ratio 2.50 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1600 · Net margin −9.3% · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.7% · Operating margin −2.6% · Revenue (TTM) $119M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −72%, LTRX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.37 Fair Value $1.83 Bull $2.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.57 $2.04 $2.62 82
Growth DCF $1.57 $1.99 $2.46 80
5Y Revenue Exit $1.56 $2.23 $3.06 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.57 $2.04 $2.62 82
5Y Revenue Exit $1.56 $2.23 $3.06 73
10Y Revenue Exit $1.52 $2.06 $2.76 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.64 $2.23 $2.82 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8300 $1.12 $1.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.57 $1.99 $2.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.56 $2.24 $3.01 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.1% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.6% (2020) → −8.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+33.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.5% a year for the price and +3.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.6%

LTRX screens 261% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.50× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 43.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.91× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.97 $117.67 +10%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.00 ¥13.99 −77%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥895.86 ¥342.18 −62%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.63 $3.71 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $460.44 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$190.50 HK$32.70 −83%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lantronix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LTRX

Frequently asked questions

Is Lantronix Inc (LTRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.83 versus a price of $6.60, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LTRX?
Our model-based fair value for Lantronix Inc is $1.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.60.
What is the quality score of LTRX?
Lantronix Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.37, optimistic scenario $2.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lantronix Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.83, about −72% upside versus a price of $6.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.37, optimistic scenario $2.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Lantronix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $119M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lantronix Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +33.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LTRX use?
Our models discount Lantronix Inc at 14.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.66, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lantronix Inc that is +33.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lantronix Inc (LTRX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lantronix Inc grew +15.5 % a year. The price currently implies +33.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lantronix Inc (LTRX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lantronix Inc (+33.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.66 %: that much free cash flow Lantronix Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lantronix Inc it is $1.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.60. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lantronix Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LTRX trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.60, fair value $1.83, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LTRX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.83). For Lantronix Inc the two are $4.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lantronix Inc worth?
The market values Lantronix Inc at about $296M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.60; our models calculate a fair value of $1.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LTRX?
Our models span a range for Lantronix Inc: cautious scenario $1.37, base $1.83, optimistic $2.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of LTRX?
The PEG ratio of Lantronix Inc is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lantronix Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −8.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LTRX from its 52-week high?
Lantronix Inc trades at $6.60, about 22% below its 52-week high of $8.45 and 47% above the low of $4.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lantronix Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lantronix Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.60, calculated fair value $1.83 (−72%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LTRX calculated?
We run Lantronix Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lantronix Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $6.60. Our model-based fair value is $1.83, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lantronix Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Lantronix Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The market capitalisation of Lantronix Inc is $296M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lantronix Inc is 2.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Earnings per share at Lantronix Inc are $−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The net margin of Lantronix Inc is −9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lantronix Inc is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lantronix Inc is −4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
The operating margin of Lantronix Inc is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lantronix Inc (LTRX)?
Revenue at Lantronix Inc is growing +5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Lantronix Inc (LTRX) carry?
The net debt of Lantronix Inc is $1.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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