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Lantronix, Inc (LTRX) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $296M

LI Lantronix, Inc logo Lantronix, Inc LTRX · US
Price$5.97
Fair Value$1.80
Upside-69.9%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.34 – $2.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +12.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.97 $1.96 Fair Value $1.80 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.96 – $9.97 · fair‑value band $1.34 – $2.38 · the $5.97 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Lantronix, Inc (LTRX) currently trades at $5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Lantronix, Inc generated revenue of $119M at a net margin of -5.5%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. Net debt stands at $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.34 (bear case) to $2.38 (bull case); at $5.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -70%, LTRX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.50 $1.89 $2.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.53 $2.20 $2.97 74
Gordon GGM $0.1300 $0.2100 $0.2800 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.49 $1.94 $2.48 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.53 $2.19 $3.02 39
10Y Revenue Exit $1.47 $2.01 $2.70 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1300 $0.2100 $0.2800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1300 $0.1900 $0.2300 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.64 $2.23 $2.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8300 $1.12 $1.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.50 $1.89 $2.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.53 $2.20 $2.97 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $119M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin -5.5%
Return on equity -8.7%
Free cash flow $6.8M FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1600
Net debt $1.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan.

Full company description

Lantronix, Inc. develops, markets, and sells industrial and enterprise internet of things (IoT) products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific Japan. The company's embedded IoT solutions provides embedded products, including compute system-on-module and system-in-package solutions; and IoT compute products which offers application processing solutions for data transformation, computer vision, machine learning, augmented/virtual reality, and custom applications, as well as software tools for industrial automation, automotive systems, and smart city infrastructure. It also provides IoT Systems Solutions, which include wired and wireless connections which enhances modern electronic systems and equipment by providing secure network connectivity, power for IoT end devices through power over ethernet (PoE), application hosting, protocol conversion, media conversion, secure access for distributed IoT deployments, and other functions; PoE products for support of remote devices, such as camera and wireless access points; smart tracking devices; and advanced out-of-band products, including console and power management, and IP-connected keyboard-video-mouse. In addition, the company offers a SaaS platform that enables customers to deploy, monitor, manage, and automate deployments; multitenancy functionality for support of customer separation and data security; and multidisciplinary engineering services for IoT product development, including hardware, software, mechanical engineering, rapid prototyping, and quality assurance. The company has a strategic partnership with Safe Pro Group Inc. to develop autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems; has a collaboration with Cherry & White to Launch rapid Wi-Fi platform that brings enterprise-grade connectivity to critical infrastructure in minutes. Lantronix, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Irvine, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lantronix, Inc reported revenue of $123M in FY2025 versus $71.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$123M
Latest YoY
−23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 $71.5M
FY22 $130M
FY23 $131M
FY24 $160M
FY25 $123M
Net income
FY21 −$4.0M
FY22 −$5.4M
FY23 −$9.0M
FY24 −$4.5M
FY25 −$11.4M

LTRX screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lantronix, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LTRX

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 286 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.50× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 43.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.91× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 30 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 94 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lantronix, Inc (LTRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.80 versus a price of $5.97, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LTRX?
Our model-based fair value for Lantronix, Inc is $1.80 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.97.
What is the quality score of LTRX?
Lantronix, Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lantronix, Inc (LTRX)?
Lantronix, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $119M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LTRX?
The net profit margin of Lantronix, Inc is about -5.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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