LumenRadio AB (LUMEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 778M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −12.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 41.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range kr 47.20 – kr 156.80 · fair‑value band kr 24.02 – kr 41.72 · the kr 52.60 price screens above the kr 33.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
LumenRadio AB (LUMEN) currently trades at kr 52.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 33.38, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, LumenRadio AB generated revenue of 251M SEK at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 101M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 24.02 (bear case) to kr 41.72 (bull case); at kr 52.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -37%, LUMEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 33.51) versus Asset-Based (kr 13.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
LumenRadio AB (publ), a technology company, develops and sells wireless product-to-product connections in Sweden. It offers end-user products, radio modules, and software solutions.
Full company description
LumenRadio AB (publ), a technology company, develops and sells wireless product-to-product connections in Sweden. It offers end-user products, radio modules, and software solutions. The company's products include wireless DMX; wireless DALI; wireless Modbus; wireless Mesh; and wireless BACnet, as well as AirGlow outdoor wireless mesh controller under the LumenRadio, Radiocrafts, Wireless Solution brands. Its products are used in entertainment lighting, theater lightning, indoor lightning, street lightning, architectural lightning, HVAC and building automation, solar and EV installations, and industrial IoT applications. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LumenRadio AB reported revenue of kr 243M in FY2025 versus kr 127M in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 19.1M in FY2025, compounding −6.0%/yr from FY2021.
LUMEN screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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