17LIVE GROUP (LVR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of 17LIVE GROUP S$0.33, price S$0.69, upside -51.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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17LIVE Group Limited operates live streaming platforms in Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and the rest of Asia. It operates in two segments, Live Streaming and Others.
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17LIVE Group Limited operates live streaming platforms in Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and the rest of Asia. It operates in two segments, Live Streaming and Others. The company is involved in the operation of 17LIVE, a live streaming platform for live streamers and V-Livers; Wave, an audio live streaming product; HandsUp, a live commerce solution; and OrderPally, a social live commerce system product. 17LIVE Group Limited was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shibuya, Japan.
Stock analysis
17LIVE GROUP (LVR) currently trades at 0.6850 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3300 SGD, 51.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 0.5400 SGD per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the 0.6850 SGD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.1400 SGD, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2500 SGD (bear) to 0.4500 SGD (bull), the price of 0.6850 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
17LIVE GROUP reported revenue of $159M in FY2026 versus $364M in FY2023, a compound −24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$924K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 120M SGD (≈ $93.7M) · P/E ratio 68.5 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −52%, LVR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2500 SGDFair Value 0.3300 SGDBull 0.4500 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0016 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.1%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 685 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−51.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Return on assets−0.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)68.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF22.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "17LIVE GROUP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LVR
Frequently asked questions
Is 17LIVE GROUP (LVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3300 SGD versus a price of 0.6850 SGD, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LVR?
Our model-based fair value for 17LIVE GROUP is 0.3300 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6850 SGD.
What is the quality score of LVR?
17LIVE GROUP has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3300 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2500 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4500 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 17LIVE GROUP stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3300 SGD, about −52% upside versus a price of 0.6850 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2500 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4500 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
17LIVE GROUP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $143M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does 17LIVE GROUP pay a dividend?
17LIVE GROUP currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 17LIVE GROUP would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -24.1 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LVR use?
Our models discount 17LIVE GROUP at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For 17LIVE GROUP that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has 17LIVE GROUP (LVR) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at 17LIVE GROUP grew -24.1 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into 17LIVE GROUP (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.42 %: that much free cash flow 17LIVE GROUP produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 17LIVE GROUP it is 0.3300 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 0.6850 SGD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 17LIVE GROUP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, LVR trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.6850 SGD, fair value 0.3300 SGD, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LVR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6850 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3300 SGD). For 17LIVE GROUP the two are 0.3550 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 17LIVE GROUP worth?
The market values 17LIVE GROUP at about 120M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 0.6850 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3300 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LVR?
Our models span a range for 17LIVE GROUP: cautious scenario 0.2500 SGD, base 0.3300 SGD, optimistic 0.4500 SGD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 0.6850 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LVR?
17LIVE GROUP trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 68.5 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.3300 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
Balance-sheet figures for 17LIVE GROUP (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LVR from its 52-week high?
17LIVE GROUP trades at 0.6850 SGD, about 42% below its 52-week high of 1.18 SGD and at the low of 0.6850 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3300 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 17LIVE GROUP?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 17LIVE GROUP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 0.6850 SGD, calculated fair value 0.3300 SGD (−52%), Quality Score 50/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LVR calculated?
We run 17LIVE GROUP through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3300 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. 17LIVE GROUP itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 0.6850 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.3300 SGD, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 17LIVE GROUP right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4500 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.2500 SGD to 0.4500 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of 17LIVE GROUP
How large is the market capitalisation of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The market capitalisation of 17LIVE GROUP is 120M SGD (≈ $93.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of 17LIVE GROUP is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
Earnings per share at 17LIVE GROUP are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 68.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The dividend yield of 17LIVE GROUP is 0.6% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The net margin of 17LIVE GROUP is −0.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of 17LIVE GROUP is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 17LIVE GROUP is 6.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
The operating margin of 17LIVE GROUP is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at 17LIVE GROUP (LVR)?
Revenue at 17LIVE GROUP is growing −19.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does 17LIVE GROUP (LVR) carry?
The net debt of 17LIVE GROUP is $648K (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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