Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A (LWB) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · PL · Market cap 719M PLN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 189% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (48.28 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 17.58 PLN – 50.36 PLN · fair‑value band 48.28 PLN – 81.92 PLN · the 22.55 PLN price screens below the 65.10 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A (LWB) currently trades at 22.55 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 65.10 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 188.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A generated revenue of 2.7B PLN at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue declined 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 307M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 48.28 PLN (bear case) to 81.92 PLN (bull case); at 22.55 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 189%, LWB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (60.01 PLN) versus Earnings-Based (39.22 PLN). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A. engages in the hard coal mining business in Poland. It produces heat; carries out overhauls; maintains and installs power equipment; produces drinking and industrial water; and transports and recovers waste from washing and cleaning of coal shale and land reclamation.
Full company description
Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A. engages in the hard coal mining business in Poland. It produces heat; carries out overhauls; maintains and installs power equipment; produces drinking and industrial water; and transports and recovers waste from washing and cleaning of coal shale and land reclamation. It also engages in the production of steel structures, as well as mining and auxiliary works and coal haulage handling business. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Puchaczów, Poland. Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A. is a subsidiary of ENEA S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A reported revenue of 2.9B PLN in FY2025 versus 2.4B PLN in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −160M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹409.30 | ₹464.01 | +13% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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