Lydia Holding (LYDHO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 63.2B TRY (≈ $1.3B)

What is Lydia Holding really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.42 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.05 TRY – 213.70 TRY · fair‑value band 9.85 TRY – 16.42 TRY · the 145.70 TRY price screens above the 13.14 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Lydia Holding (LYDHO) currently trades at 145.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.14 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 1,008.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 62.2M TRY. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −8.7%. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.85 TRY (bear case) to 16.42 TRY (bull case); at 145.70 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −91%, LYDHO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples (15.63 TRY) versus Asset-Based (12.32 TRY). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Lydia Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, invests in the energy, technology, sustainability, logistics, and media businesses in Tukey. The company provides valuation and processing of underground and aboveground resources.

Full company description

Lydia Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, invests in the energy, technology, sustainability, logistics, and media businesses in Tukey. The company provides valuation and processing of underground and aboveground resources. It is also involved in the activities in the field of technology; management of resources; and provision of logistics solutions and access to information. In addition, the company engages in the production, packaging, and packing of fresh vegetables and fruits, as well as fresh or dried products, semi-finished products, and raw and auxiliary materials related to such products; establishment, operation, leasing, and sale of electricity production facilities and other energy production facilities generating from renewable energy sources and other sources; engineering, project development, and consulting activities; and investment, buying and selling trade, import, and export in various sectors. Further, it operates electricity storage units and storage-based electricity generation facilities; storage and sales activities; and provides passenger air transport and aircraft leasing services. The company was formerly known as Milpa Ticari ve Sinai Ürünler Pazarlama Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and changed its name to Lydia Holding A.S. in July 2024. Lydia Holding A.S. was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lydia Holding reported revenue of 63.5M TRY in FY2025 versus 1.8M TRY in FY2021, a compound +145.0%/yr. Reported net income was 386M TRY in FY2025, compounding +51.9%/yr from FY2021.

LYDHO screens 1,009% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 373 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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