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Lyko Group (LYKO-A) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SE · Market cap 1.3B SEK

LG Lyko Group LYKO-A · ST
Pricekr 81.10
Fair Valuekr 115.87
Upside+42.9%
Quality30/100
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Evidence: Medium Range kr 62.57 – kr 169.18 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +31.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

kr 147.80 kr 56.60 Fair Value kr 115.87 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range kr 56.60 – kr 147.80 · fair‑value band kr 62.57 – kr 169.18 · the kr 81.10 price screens below the kr 115.87 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Lyko Group (LYKO-A) currently trades at kr 81.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 115.87, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lyko Group generated revenue of 4.0B SEK at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 62.57 (bear case) to kr 169.18 (bull case); at kr 81.10, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 43%, LYKO-A screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.0B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.3%
Net margin -0.1%
Return on equity -0.7%
Free cash flow 216M SEK FY2025
Operating margin 1.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -2.41
EPS growth (YoY) +167%
Net debt 1.5B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Lyko Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells various hair care and beauty products in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Austria, Poland, and the Netherlands. The company retails gift sets; hair products comprising hair care, styling, hair accessories, hair color, styling tools, brushes and combs, and hair extensions; skincare products consisting of face, skin condition, body, suncare, beauty tech, professional skincare, and dermatological skincare products; makeup products, such as cleansers, face, eyes, lips, makeup brushes, palettes, tools and accessories, and SFX makeup; fragrances, including perfume, body mist, and deodorants; and K-beauty products. It also provides health and wellness products comprising supplements, training and health, food and beverages, sex and pleasure, and oral hygiene products; beard products for men; kids' products; jewelry; home and spa items; phone accessories; underwear; and travel products. The company sells its …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lyko Group reported revenue of kr 4.0B in FY2025 versus kr 2.1B in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY21 kr 2.1B
FY22 kr 2.5B
FY23 kr 3.1B
FY24 kr 3.6B
FY25 kr 4.0B
Net income
FY21 kr 47.3M
FY22 kr 23.2M
FY23 kr 32.0M
FY24 kr 21.0M
FY25 −kr 3.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lyko Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LYKO-A

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lyko Group (LYKO-A) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 115.87 versus a price of kr 81.10, about +43% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LYKO-A?
Our model-based fair value for Lyko Group is kr 115.87 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 81.10.
What is the quality score of LYKO-A?
Lyko Group has a Quality Score of 30/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Lyko Group (LYKO-A)?
Lyko Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LYKO-A?
The net profit margin of Lyko Group is about -0.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.