Lyko Group (LYKO-A) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SE · Market cap 1.3B SEK (≈ $136M) · ISIN SE0010468918

What is Lyko Group really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The model range is unusually wide (kr 62.57 to kr 169.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 56.60 – kr 392.50 · fair‑value band kr 62.57 – kr 169.18 · the kr 83.60 price screens below the kr 115.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Lyko Group (LYKO-A) currently trades at kr 83.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 115.87, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 281.25 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 83.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 19.98, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lyko Group generated revenue of 4.0B SEK at a net margin of −0.1%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 62.57 (bear case) to kr 169.18 (bull case); at kr 83.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 39%, LYKO-A screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 281.25) versus Asset-Based (kr 19.98). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Lyko Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells various hair care and beauty products in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Austria, Poland, and the Netherlands.

Full company description

Lyko Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells various hair care and beauty products in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Austria, Poland, and the Netherlands. The company retails gift sets; hair products comprising hair care, styling, hair accessories, hair color, styling tools, brushes and combs, and hair extensions; skincare products consisting of face, skin condition, body, suncare, beauty tech, professional skincare, and dermatological skincare products; makeup products, such as cleansers, face, eyes, lips, makeup brushes, palettes, tools and accessories, and SFX makeup; fragrances, including perfume, body mist, and deodorants; and K-beauty products. It also provides health and wellness products comprising supplements, training and health, food and beverages, sex and pleasure, and oral hygiene products; beard products for men; kids' products; jewelry; home and spa items; phone accessories; underwear; and travel products. The company sells its products through its sales teams, physical stores and salons, online through Lyko.com, and the Lyko app. It also provides haircuts, styling, and skincare treatment services. Lyko Group AB (publ) was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Vansbro, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lyko Group reported revenue of 4.0B SEK in FY2025 versus 2.1B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0M SEK in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 246 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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