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Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 10, 2026: fair value of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT IDR 77, price IDR 50, upside +54.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · ID · ISIN ID1000126402

MA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT

MAGP · JK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 77.37 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+54.7%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +39.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -124.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

50.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 77.37 IDR Jan 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 43.00 IDR – 125.06 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens below the 77.37 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the oil palm plantation business in Indonesia. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Santika Griya Persada.

Stock analysis

Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 77.37 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 43.56 IDR per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the 50.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 9.69 IDR, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 43.00 IDR (bear) to 125.06 IDR (bull), the price of 50.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT reported revenue of 163B IDR in FY2021 versus 69.4B IDR in FY2017, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was −73.7B IDR in FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 450B IDR (≈ $25.1M) · P/S ratio 2.74 · EPS (TTM) −22.70 IDR · Net margin −45.2% · Return on equity −91.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −16.6% · Revenue (TTM) 164B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 55%, MAGP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 43.00 IDR Fair Value 77.37 IDR Bull 125.06 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.86 IDR 30.27 IDR 41.24 IDR 76
FCF DCF 51.37 IDR 92.86 IDR 193.98 IDR 75
Growth DCF 49.88 IDR 97.37 IDR 169.24 IDR 75
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 51.37 IDR 92.86 IDR 193.98 IDR 75
5Y Revenue Exit 26.05 IDR 41.78 IDR 62.76 IDR 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.86 IDR 30.27 IDR 41.24 IDR 76
10Y Revenue Exit 33.52 IDR 52.16 IDR 80.84 IDR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 30.55 IDR 43.56 IDR 61.93 IDR 68
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 7.35 IDR 9.69 IDR 12.03 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 14.34 IDR 20.34 IDR 26.34 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.68 IDR 6.27 IDR 9.35 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 49.88 IDR 97.37 IDR 169.24 IDR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 26.05 IDR 41.75 IDR 63.60 IDR 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.8%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−101.4% (2016) → −12.6% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2021 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +54.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −124.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −16.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14.3% · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.38 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.48 ¥115.35 +185%
Bunge Global SA BG $108.14 $56.75 −48%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $50.98 $37.06 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 −17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 205.60 kr 280.90 +37%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 580.50 kr 171.05 −71%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.80 THB 55.71 THB +156%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.58 MYR 35.84 MYR +10%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥155.26 ¥254.63 +64%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAGP

Frequently asked questions

Is Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 77.37 IDR versus the last price from Jul 10, 2026 of 50.00 IDR, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MAGP?
Our model-based fair value for Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is 77.37 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 10, 2026): 50.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MAGP?
Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 77.37 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 43.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 125.06 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 77.37 IDR, about +55% upside versus the last price from Jul 10, 2026 of 50.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 43.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 125.06 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 164B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +34.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +39.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MAGP use?
Our models discount Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT that is +34.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT grew +39.8 % a year. The price currently implies +34.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (+34.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.08 %: that much free cash flow Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT it is 77.37 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 50.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MAGP trades below its calculated fair value: price 50.00 IDR, fair value 77.37 IDR, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MAGP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (77.37 IDR). For Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT the two are 27.37 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT worth?
The market values Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT at about 450B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 50.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 77.37 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MAGP?
Our models span a range for Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT: cautious scenario 43.00 IDR, base 77.37 IDR, optimistic 125.06 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 50.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −91.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MAGP from its 52-week high?
Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT trades at 50.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 50.00 IDR and at the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Jul 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 77.37 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 50.00 IDR, calculated fair value 77.37 IDR (+55%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MAGP calculated?
We run Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 77.37 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 10, 2026 and stands at 50.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 77.37 IDR, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT right now?
The model range is unusually wide (43.00 IDR to 125.06 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The market capitalisation of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is 450B IDR (≈ $25.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is 2.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Earnings per share at Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT are −22.70 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The net margin of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is −45.2% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is −91.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
The operating margin of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is −16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP)?
Revenue at Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT (MAGP) carry?
The net debt of Multi Agro Gemilang Plantation Tbk PT is 356B IDR (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 25.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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