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PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk (MAHA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 2.3T IDR

PM PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk MAHA · JK
Price146.00 IDR
Fair Value310.65 IDR
Upside+112.8%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range 232.99 IDR – 388.31 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 113% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (232.99 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

236.64 IDR 121.00 IDR Fair Value 310.65 IDR Jul 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range 121.00 IDR – 236.64 IDR · fair‑value band 232.99 IDR – 388.31 IDR · the 146.00 IDR price screens below the 310.65 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk (MAHA) currently trades at 146.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 310.65 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 112.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk generated revenue of 2.9T IDR at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 33.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at 46.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 232.99 IDR (bear case) to 388.31 IDR (bull case); at 146.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -70% fair-value upside, at 113%, MAHA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 746.88 IDR 1,450 IDR 2,891 IDR 80
Residual Income 111.10 IDR 132.88 IDR 245.40 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 428.42 IDR 758.83 IDR 1,260 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 785.05 IDR 1,286 IDR 2,840 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 544.01 IDR 1,228 IDR 2,729 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 428.42 IDR 691.77 IDR 1,206 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 562.37 IDR 976.35 IDR 1,743 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 411.23 IDR 730.79 IDR 1,133 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 516.88 IDR 925.66 IDR 1,306 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 625.36 IDR 1,195 IDR 2,233 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 515.37 IDR 891.09 IDR 1,513 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 100.59 IDR 701.51 IDR 984.46 IDR 54
Lynch FV 222.63 IDR 318.04 IDR 413.46 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 222.63 IDR 318.04 IDR 413.46 IDR 46
EPV 247.68 IDR 285.29 IDR 318.73 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 115.43 IDR 252.00 IDR 424.00 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 115.43 IDR 206.43 IDR 262.62 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 244.08 IDR 325.44 IDR 406.80 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 188.61 IDR 251.48 IDR 314.35 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 188.61 IDR 251.48 IDR 314.35 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 363.72 IDR 473.44 IDR 583.17 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 484.10 IDR 633.96 IDR 783.81 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 284.16 IDR 391.15 IDR 498.13 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 57.59 IDR 77.17 IDR 115.18 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 746.88 IDR 1,450 IDR 2,891 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 428.42 IDR 758.83 IDR 1,260 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 111.10 IDR 132.88 IDR 245.40 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 305.72 IDR 438.21 IDR 629.20 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 303.96 IDR 434.23 IDR 564.50 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (925.66 IDR) versus Asset-Based (77.17 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.0%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 16.2%
Free cash flow 713B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 7.3
More key figures
Operating margin 12.7%
EPS (TTM) 19.42 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +689%
Net debt 46.2B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk provides coal transportation services in Indonesia. Its fleet consists of prime mover and dump trucks. It also offers mining support for coal hauling, as well as coal hauling, coal loading, and road maintenance. PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was 243B IDR in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9T IDR
Latest YoY
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.0%
Revenue +22.0%/yr
FY21 1.3T IDR
FY22 1.6T IDR
FY23 2.0T IDR
FY24 2.5T IDR
FY25 2.9T IDR
Net income −6.1%/yr
FY21 312B IDR
FY22 502B IDR
FY23 268B IDR
FY24 297B IDR
FY25 243B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAHA

Peer Group

Trucking · 46 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +113% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 65 · sector 10
PAST 65 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 20

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $225.23 $103.37 -54%
XPO, Inc XPO $219.29 $56.52 -74%
TFI International Inc TFII $155.83 $110.79 -29%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $75.19 $8.58 -89%
Saia, Inc SAIA $438.29 $129.64 -70%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $38.19 $12.37 -68%
RXO, Inc RXO $27.07 $3.48 -87%
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $147.13 $45.89 -69%
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $46.04 $8.24 -82%
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.55 ¥1.20 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk (MAHA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 310.65 IDR versus a price of 146.00 IDR, about +113% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MAHA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 310.65 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 146.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MAHA?
PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk (MAHA)?
PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAHA?
The net profit margin of PT Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa Tbk is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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