Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Marine Petroleum Trust $4.14, price $4.37, upside -5.3%, quality 88 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.58 – $10.79 · fair‑value band $3.59 – $5.11 · the $4.37 price screens above the $4.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Marine Petroleum Trust, together with its subsidiary, Marine Petroleum Corporation, operates as a royalty trust primarily in the United States. It has overriding royalty interest in oil and natural gas leases in the Central and Western areas of the Gulf of America off the coasts of Louisiana and Texas.
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Marine Petroleum Trust, together with its subsidiary, Marine Petroleum Corporation, operates as a royalty trust primarily in the United States. It has overriding royalty interest in oil and natural gas leases in the Central and Western areas of the Gulf of America off the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Stock analysis
Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) currently trades at $4.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.14, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.93 per share, and 10 of the 20 models we run sit above the $4.37 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $1.07, and 10 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.59 (bear) to $5.11 (bull), the price of $4.37 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Marine Petroleum Trust reported revenue of $1.0M in FY2025 versus $774K in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $728K in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $8.7M · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 10.1 · EPS (TTM) $0.3100 · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 72.0% · Return on equity 65.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 67.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −5%, MARPS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.59Fair Value $4.14Bull $5.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.1% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs −9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.73% → 69%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)66% · Top 25%
Return on assets41% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)65% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)58% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
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Is Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.14 versus a price of $4.37, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MARPS?
Our model-based fair value for Marine Petroleum Trust is $4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.37.
What is the quality score of MARPS?
Marine Petroleum Trust has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.59, optimistic scenario $5.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marine Petroleum Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.14, about −5% upside versus a price of $4.37 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.59, optimistic scenario $5.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Marine Petroleum Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $962K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Marine Petroleum Trust pay a dividend?
Marine Petroleum Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marine Petroleum Trust it is $4.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.37. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marine Petroleum Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MARPS trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.37, fair value $4.14, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MARPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.14). For Marine Petroleum Trust the two are $0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marine Petroleum Trust worth?
The market values Marine Petroleum Trust at about $8.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.37; our models calculate a fair value of $4.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MARPS?
Our models span a range for Marine Petroleum Trust: cautious scenario $3.59, base $4.14, optimistic $5.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MARPS?
Marine Petroleum Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.5, P/S 9.1, EV/EBITDA 10.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marine Petroleum Trust (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 65.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 88/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MARPS from its 52-week high?
Marine Petroleum Trust trades at $4.37, about 25% below its 52-week high of $5.81 and 11% above the low of $3.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marine Petroleum Trust?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marine Petroleum Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.37, calculated fair value $4.14 (−5%), Quality Score 88/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MARPS calculated?
We run Marine Petroleum Trust through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Marine Petroleum Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.37. Our model-based fair value is $4.14, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marine Petroleum Trust right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Marine Petroleum Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The market capitalisation of Marine Petroleum Trust is $8.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Marine Petroleum Trust is 10.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Earnings per share at Marine Petroleum Trust are $0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The dividend yield of Marine Petroleum Trust is 7.7% (payout 108%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The net margin of Marine Petroleum Trust is 72.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marine Petroleum Trust is 65.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marine Petroleum Trust is 67.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
The operating margin of Marine Petroleum Trust is 57.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Revenue at Marine Petroleum Trust is growing −31.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS)?
Earnings per share at Marine Petroleum Trust are growing −44.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) generate?
The free cash flow of Marine Petroleum Trust is $2.0B (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Marine Petroleum Trust (MARPS) hold?
Marine Petroleum Trust holds more cash than debt, $922K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026