MCH Group (MCHN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CH · Market cap CHF 189M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from CHF 11.44 to CHF 11.48 (+0.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 89% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 8.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 8.30 to CHF 15.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 2.99 – CHF 14.81 · fair‑value band CHF 8.30 – CHF 15.92 · the CHF 6.06 price screens below the CHF 11.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
MCH Group (MCHN) currently trades at CHF 6.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 11.48, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MCH Group generated revenue of CHF 389M at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 36.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 8.30 (bear case) to CHF 15.92 (bull case); at CHF 6.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 89%, MCHN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 11.50) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MCH Group AG operates as a live marketing company that provides a network of services in the exhibition and event market worldwide.
Full company description
MCH Group AG operates as a live marketing company that provides a network of services in the exhibition and event market worldwide. The company provides community platforms for use in the construction, hospitality, life sciences, and education sectors; and experience marketing solutions to institutions, event organizers, or companies in the fields of business, culture, and sports under the MCH Global, Expomobilia, and MC2 brands. It offers trade fairs, guest events, and event venues, as well as trade fair and conference infrastructures. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MCH Group reported revenue of CHF 430M in FY2025 versus CHF 190M in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 18.6M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −0.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −15.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $506.98 | $181.37 | -64% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €87.16 | €146.36 | +68% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $80.75 | $99.84 | +24% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥5.00 | ¥4.08 | -18% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $19.37 | $20.76 | +7% |
| BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 | ¥13.81 | ¥1.50 | -89% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €21.28 | €20.99 | -1% |
| WPP plc WPP | $18.13 | $18.56 | +2% |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥28.85 | ¥5.62 | -81% |
| Mobvista Inc 1860 | HK$11.15 | HK$6.43 | -42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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