PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, (MDCOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.7B
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk,
MDCOY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $6.48 to $11.20 (+72.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($9.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range $6.47 – $7.00 · fair‑value band $9.00 – $15.02 · the $7.00 price screens below the $11.20 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, (MDCOY) currently trades at $7.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.20, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.00 (bear case) to $15.02 (bull case); at $7.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 60%, MDCOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.95) versus Earnings-Based ($2.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces oil and gas in Indonesia, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas; Services; Power; Chemicals; and Trading segments.
Full company description
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces oil and gas in Indonesia, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas; Services; Power; Chemicals; and Trading segments. The company operates an independent power producer in the gas, geothermal, and other renewables sectors, as well as manages a portfolio of onshore and offshore assets in the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It is also involved in copper and gold mining operations in Sumbawa and Nusa Tenggara; and providing operation and maintenance services, and support services for oil and gas activities. The company was formerly known as PT Medco Energi Corporation and changed its name to PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk in 2000. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Medco Daya Abadi Lestari.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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