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Maisons du Monde S.A (MDM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €7.8M

MD Maisons du Monde S.A MDM · PA
Price€0.2200
Fair Value€0.2105
Upside-4.3%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -41.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.0996 – €0.3214 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €0.4539 to €0.2105 (−53.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.0996 to €0.3214). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€19.31 €0.1510 Fair Value €0.2105 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.1510 – €19.31 · fair‑value band €0.0996 – €0.3214 · the €0.2200 price screens above the €0.2105 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Maisons du Monde S.A (MDM) currently trades at €0.2200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2105, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Maisons du Monde S.A generated revenue of €981M at a net margin of -17.0%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -33.8%. Net debt stands at €631M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0996 (bear case) to €0.3214 (bull case); at €0.2200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -4%, MDM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.1451 €0.1751 €0.2198 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.1522 €0.2140 €0.2900 74
Gordon GGM €0.0043 €0.0045 €0.0050 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.1419 €0.1739 €0.2255 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.1522 €0.2105 €0.2953 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.1840 €0.2656 €0.3735 41
10Y Revenue Exit €0.1435 €0.1814 €0.2216 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.1631 €0.2105 €0.2608 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0043 €0.0045 €0.0050 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0043 €0.0049 €0.0057 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €0.2558 €0.3349 €0.4139 54
EV/Revenue €0.1739 €0.2406 €0.3071 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0102 €0.0138 €0.0206 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.1451 €0.1751 €0.2198 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.1522 €0.2140 €0.2900 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (€0.2406) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0045). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €973M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.5%
Net margin -41.7%
Return on equity -141%
Free cash flow €64.9M FY2025
Operating margin -72.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-10.53
EPS growth (YoY) -67.0%
Net debt €631M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Maisons du Monde S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides home and living room related products in France and internationally. The company's decorative products include bed linen products, carpets, candles, pillows and cushions, clocks, tableware, lamps, kitchen utensils, mirrors and frames, vases, storage units, curtains and net curtains, and bath products.

Full company description

Maisons du Monde S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides home and living room related products in France and internationally. The company's decorative products include bed linen products, carpets, candles, pillows and cushions, clocks, tableware, lamps, kitchen utensils, mirrors and frames, vases, storage units, curtains and net curtains, and bath products. It also provides furniture, such as sofas, chairs, beds, mattresses and bedframes, floor lamps, tables, and junior furniture; and tables and storage units comprising bookshelves, wardrobes, and cupboards, as well as outdoor furniture. In addition, the company offers warehouse logistics and order preparation services, as well as container transport services between harbor and warehouses. It provides its products under the Maisons du Monde brand. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Vertou, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maisons du Monde S.A reported revenue of €973M in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound −7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€406M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€973M
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue −7.9%/yr
FY21 €1.4B
FY22 €1.3B
FY23 €1.2B
FY24 €1.0B
FY25 €973M
Net income
FY21 €77.4M
FY22 €34.3M
FY23 €8.6M
FY24 −€115M
FY25 −€406M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maisons du Monde S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDM

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -72% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 11
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $337.74 $236.85 -30%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $209.66 $186.32 -11%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$92.80 A$50.50 -46%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $56.40 $32.81 -42%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.70 MYR 1.47 MYR -14%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.65 THB 6.31 THB -5%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 7.50 THB 5.96 THB -21%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.86 THB 2.90 THB -25%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $25.66 $22.53 -12%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 22.00 TWD 9.18 TWD -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maisons du Monde S.A (MDM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2105 versus a price of €0.2200, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MDM?
Our model-based fair value for Maisons du Monde S.A is €0.2105 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.2200.
What is the quality score of MDM?
Maisons du Monde S.A has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Maisons du Monde S.A (MDM)?
Maisons du Monde S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €981M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDM?
The net profit margin of Maisons du Monde S.A is about -17.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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