Medco Energi Internasional Tbk (MEDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Medco Energi Internasional Tbk IDR 1,243, price IDR 1,465, upside -15.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Medco Energi Internasional Tbk
MEDC · JKWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 355.50 IDR – 1,942 IDR · fair‑value band 932.11 IDR – 1,554 IDR · the 1,465 IDR price screens above the 1,243 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces oil and gas in Indonesia, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas; Services; Power; Chemicals; and Trading segments.
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PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces oil and gas in Indonesia, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas; Services; Power; Chemicals; and Trading segments. The company operates an independent power producer in the gas, geothermal, and other renewables sectors, as well as manages a portfolio of onshore and offshore assets in the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It is also involved in copper and gold mining operations in Sumbawa and Nusa Tenggara; and providing operation and maintenance services, and support services for oil and gas activities. The company was formerly known as PT Medco Energi Corporation and changed its name to PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk in 2000. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Medco Daya Abadi Lestari.
Stock analysis
Medco Energi Internasional Tbk (MEDC) currently trades at 1,465 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,243 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,953 IDR per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,465 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 532.63 IDR, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 932.11 IDR (bear) to 1,554 IDR (bull), the price of 1,465 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Medco Energi Internasional Tbk reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 36.2T IDR (≈ $3.6B) · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) 109.84 IDR · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1% · Operating margin 25.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −15%, MEDC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
MEDC screens 18% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Compare Medco Energi Internasional Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.68 | HK$39.95 | +69% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $125.27 | $90.15 | −28% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.77 | $52.55 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.52 | $165.02 | +18% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $56.31 | $33.34 | −41% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $184.50 | $242.64 | +32% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.93 | $51.62 | +10% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.13 | A$23.59 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.81 | $55.89 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $355.24 | $318.28 | −10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Medco Energi Internasional Tbk
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