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Data-driven stock valuation

Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Midera Food Processing, Inc. stock $18.35, price $40.12, that is 54.3% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

MF Midera Food Processing, Inc. logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Midera Food Processing, Inc.

MFP · US
Stretched Valuation

Our calculation puts a fair price 54% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 61/100
Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +10.5 %/yr in USD)
Generates free cash flow
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Costs 111 times its yearly profit.
Fair value $18.35 · Strongly overvalued (−54.3%)
Narrow moat 44/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$51.47 $35.00 Fair Value $18.35 Jun 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $35.00 – $51.47 · fair‑value band $12.49 – $23.85 · the $40.12 price screens above the $18.35 fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Midera Food Processing, Inc. manufactures preparation, cooking, packaging food handling and food safety equipment for the food processing industry in United States and Internationally. It provides food processing equipment and automation solutions.

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It offers mixers, make-up lines, batch ovens, proofers, conveyor belt ovens, spiral ovens, serpentine ovens and other continuous processing ovens, frying systems and automated thermal processing systems, for producing industrial protein products, such as bacon, salami and dry cure, sausage and hot dogs, egg bites, poultry, alternative protein, case ready, lunch meat and pet food; bakery products,such as bread and buns, artisan bread, sweet goods, cakes and muffins, cookies, crackers, pizza and pastries, tortillas and snacks, such as biscuits, crackers and energy bars, and portable protein.

It delivers solutions from preparation and thermal processing through packaging. The company sells its products through direct sales. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Rosemont, Illinois.

Midera Food Processing, Inc. operates independently of The Middleby Corporation as of July 6, 2026.

Stock analysis

Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP) currently trades at $40.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.35, 54.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $19.34 per share, and 0 of the 20 models we run sit above the $40.12 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.12, and 20 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $12.49 (bear) to $23.85 (bull), the price of $40.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Midera Food Processing, Inc. reported revenue of $853M in FY2025 versus $759M in FY2023, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $32.5M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap $1.8B Small · P/E ratio 111.4 · P/S ratio 4.24 · EPS (TTM) $0.3600 · Net margin 3.8% · Operating margin 9.7% · Revenue (TTM) $938M · Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −54%, MFP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $12.49 Fair Value $18.35 Bull $23.85
Price $40.12 · Downside -54.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3018 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $12.79 $19.34 $28.44 69
EPV $6.69 $7.58 $8.32 67
Growth DCF $12.76 $18.82 $26.86 66
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.79 $19.34 $28.44 69
5Y Revenue Exit $12.49 $20.16 $30.10 60
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.40 $25.80 $38.23 62
5Y P/E Exit $11.16 $17.60 $24.48 59
10Y Revenue Exit $12.11 $18.80 $28.10 55
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.15 $22.41 $33.90 56
10Y P/E Exit $11.67 $17.16 $24.09 53
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.88 $17.93 $24.22 58
Lynch FV $4.28 $6.12 $7.95 55
PEG = 1.0 $4.28 $6.12 $7.95 52
EPV $6.69 $7.58 $8.32 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.31 $15.08 $18.85 63
P/S Multiple $9.16 $12.21 $15.26 58
EV/EBIT $17.99 $23.99 $29.99 60
EV/EBITDA $19.15 $25.54 $31.92 61
EV/Revenue $12.84 $18.35 $23.85 49
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.76 $18.82 $26.86 66
Rev-Margin DCF $12.49 $20.14 $29.35 60
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $6.69 $7.58 $8.32 60
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.03 $11.47 $14.91 61

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 57
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 84
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 50
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.4% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.6%

MFP screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 810 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 7.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 111.4× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.93× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 30.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)66 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $500.09 $359.16 −28% vs MFP
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $278.55 $154.30 −45% vs MFP
SIE SIE €270.35 €149.56 −45% vs MFP
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $899.82 $495.17 −45% vs MFP
Sandvik AB SAND kr 364.10 kr 194.33 −47% vs MFP
AMETEK, Inc AME $241.12 $125.77 −48% vs MFP
Eaton Corporation ETN $369.97 $174.39 −53% vs MFP
Emerson Electric Co EMR $164.94 $62.85 −62% vs MFP
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $436.20 $140.20 −68% vs MFP
GE Vernova Inc GEV $857.87 $143.50 −83% vs MFP

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Midera Food Processing, Inc. · Fair Value
$18.35 −54%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Midera Food Processing, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MFP

Frequently asked questions

Is Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.35 versus a price of $40.12, about 54% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MFP?
Our model-based fair value for Midera Food Processing, Inc. is $18.35 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.12.
What is the quality score of MFP?
Midera Food Processing, Inc. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.35 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.49, optimistic scenario $23.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Midera Food Processing, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.35, about 54% lower versus a price of $40.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.49, optimistic scenario $23.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
Midera Food Processing, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $938M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Midera Food Processing, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +21.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MFP use?
Our models discount Midera Food Processing, Inc. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Midera Food Processing, Inc. that is +21.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Midera Food Processing, Inc. grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +21.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Midera Food Processing, Inc. (+21.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.32 %: that much free cash flow Midera Food Processing, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Midera Food Processing, Inc. it is $18.35 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $40.12. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Midera Food Processing, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, MFP trades above its calculated fair value: price $40.12, fair value $18.35, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MFP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($40.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.35). For Midera Food Processing, Inc. the two are $21.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Midera Food Processing, Inc. worth?
The market values Midera Food Processing, Inc. at about $1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $40.12; our models calculate a fair value of $18.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MFP?
Our models span a range for Midera Food Processing, Inc.: cautious scenario $12.49, base $18.35, optimistic $23.85 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $40.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MFP?
Midera Food Processing, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 111.4 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $18.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
Which stocks are comparable to Midera Food Processing, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Midera Food Processing, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $40.12, calculated fair value $18.35 (−54%), Quality Score 61/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MFP calculated?
We run Midera Food Processing, Inc. through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Midera Food Processing, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $40.12. Our model-based fair value is $18.35, about 54% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Midera Food Processing, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($12.49 to $23.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Midera Food Processing, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The market capitalisation of Midera Food Processing, Inc. is $1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Midera Food Processing, Inc. is 4.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
Earnings per share at Midera Food Processing, Inc. are $0.3600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 111.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The net margin of Midera Food Processing, Inc. is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the operating margin of Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
The operating margin of Midera Food Processing, Inc. is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Midera Food Processing, Inc. (MFP)?
Revenue at Midera Food Processing, Inc. is growing +13.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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