Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V stock MXN 4.37, price MXN 17.25, upside -74.7%, quality 79 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.11 MXN – 23.39 MXN · fair‑value band 3.28 MXN – 5.47 MXN · the 17.25 MXN price screens above the 4.37 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
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Minera Frisco, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the exploration and exploitation of mining lots for the production and sale of gold and silver doré in Mexico. It produces copper cathode, as well as copper, lead-silver, and zinc concentrates. The company operates 8 mining units around Mexico.
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Minera Frisco, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) currently trades at 17.25 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.37 MXN, 74.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 6.10 MXN per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 17.25 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.6400 MXN, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.28 MXN (bear) to 5.47 MXN (bull), the price of 17.25 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 14.1B MXN in FY2025 versus 12.8B MXN in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B MXN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 104B MXN (≈ $5.6B) Mid · P/E ratio 23.0 · P/S ratio 5.17 · EPS (TTM) 0.7500 MXN · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 22.7% · Return on equity 54.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −75%, MFRISCOA-1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3.28 MXNFair Value 4.37 MXNBull5.47 MXN
Price 17.25 MXN · Upside -74.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6021 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 35%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.7% a year for the price.
Compare Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 379 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−74.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)54.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)22.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)56.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)105.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.97× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B16.92× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)5.17× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow23.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 74
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)51· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MFRISCOA-1
Frequently asked questions
Is Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.37 MXN versus the last price from Oct 13, 2026 of 17.25 MXN, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MFRISCOA-1?
Our model-based fair value for Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 4.37 MXN (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 13, 2026): 17.25 MXN.
What is the quality score of MFRISCOA-1?
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.37 MXN (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.28 MXN, optimistic scenario 5.47 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.37 MXN, about −75% upside versus the last price from Oct 13, 2026 of 17.25 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.28 MXN, optimistic scenario 5.47 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.2B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
Does Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 14, 2026).
What growth is priced into Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +23.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.7 % per year. As of Oct 14, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MFRISCOA-1 use?
Our models discount Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.48, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V that is +23.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V grew +6.7 % a year. The price currently implies +23.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (+23.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.28 %: that much free cash flow Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V it is 4.37 MXN per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of 17.25 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, MFRISCOA-1 trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.25 MXN, fair value 4.37 MXN, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MFRISCOA-1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.25 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.37 MXN). For Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V the two are 12.88 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V at about 104B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is 17.25 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 4.37 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MFRISCOA-1?
Our models span a range for Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 3.28 MXN, base 4.37 MXN, optimistic 5.47 MXN per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price 17.25 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MFRISCOA-1?
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.0 (as of Oct 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.37 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 16.9, P/S 5.2, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity 54.7%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MFRISCOA-1 from its 52-week high?
Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V trades at 17.25 MXN, about 26% below its 52-week high of 23.39 MXN and 115% above the low of 8.02 MXN (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.37 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price 17.25 MXN, calculated fair value 4.37 MXN (−75%), Quality Score 79/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MFRISCOA-1 calculated?
We run Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.37 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 13, 2026 and stands at 17.25 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 4.37 MXN, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V right now?
A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.47 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The market capitalisation of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 104B MXN (≈ $5.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 5.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Earnings per share at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V are 0.7500 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The dividend yield of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 0.1% (payout 3.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The net margin of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 22.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 54.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
The operating margin of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 56.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Revenue at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is growing +105% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1)?
Earnings per share at Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V are growing +371% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V (MFRISCOA-1) carry?
The net debt of Minera Frisco S.A.B. de C.V is 13.2B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 14, 2026