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MG.TO (MG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$25.3B (≈ $18.3B) · ISIN CA5592224011

What is MG.TO really worth?

MT MG.TO MG · TO
PriceC$95.35
Fair ValueC$94.43
Upside−1.0%
Quality59/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of C$94.43.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of MG.TO is C$94.43 per share against a price of C$95.35, so the fair value sits 1% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100

For context

·2.06% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range C$70.82 – C$118.03

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from C$68.17 to C$94.43 (+38.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$105.01 C$41.78 Fair Value C$94.43 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$41.78 – C$105.01 · fair‑value band C$70.82 – C$118.03 · the C$95.35 price screens above the C$94.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

MG.TO (MG) currently trades at C$95.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$94.43, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of C$105.43 per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$95.35 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$23.89, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, MG.TO generated revenue of C$42.3B at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at C$6.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$70.82 (bear case) to C$118.03 (bull case); at C$95.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −1%, MG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$0.9005 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$66.58 C$113.95 C$188.35 78
Growth DCF C$67.52 C$108.66 C$168.86 77
Residual Income C$37.18 C$39.14 C$41.38 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$66.58 C$113.95 C$188.35 78
Owner Earnings C$18.14 C$36.04 C$64.16 73
5Y Revenue Exit C$60.70 C$105.58 C$163.43 71
5Y EBITDA Exit C$90.11 C$161.77 C$246.92 74
5Y P/E Exit C$45.51 C$76.53 C$109.25 70
10Y Revenue Exit C$59.83 C$101.72 C$159.37 65
10Y EBITDA Exit C$80.98 C$141.20 C$224.38 67
10Y P/E Exit C$52.30 C$81.33 C$117.18 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$21.07 C$72.47 C$97.30 64
Lynch FV C$16.72 C$23.89 C$31.06 61
PEG = 1.0 C$16.72 C$23.89 C$31.06 57
EPV C$48.68 C$58.68 C$67.43 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$18.67 C$38.82 C$61.58 66
DDM Multi-Stage C$18.67 C$32.35 C$40.74 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$51.13 C$68.17 C$85.21 63
P/S Multiple C$39.51 C$52.68 C$65.85 58
P/B Multiple C$39.51 C$52.68 C$65.85 55
EV/EBIT C$95.17 C$130.66 C$166.15 66
EV/EBITDA C$115.46 C$157.71 C$199.96 67
EV/Revenue C$60.47 C$91.23 C$121.98 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$22.90 C$30.69 C$45.81 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$67.52 C$108.66 C$168.86 77
Rev-Margin DCF C$60.70 C$105.43 C$158.27 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$37.18 C$39.14 C$41.38 76
ROIC Compounder C$49.61 C$66.78 C$89.41 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$43.57 C$62.24 C$80.92 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (C$105.43) versus Earnings-Based (C$23.89). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.3
P/S ratio 0.56 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) C$3.37 price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.3
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 58.2%
Net margin 2.0% FY2025
Return on equity 6.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) C$42.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1% 3y avg +4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −35.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow C$1.8B FY2025
Net debt C$6.7B FY2025 · ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles.

Full company description

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and vehicle concepts, complete vehicle engineering and integration, human-machine interface, developing modules and systems, platform solutions, prototyping and low-volume manufacturing, vehicle safety testing, aerospace, and integrating functionality, features, and ADAS; and complete vehicle solutions, body-in-white, paint, and assembly complete vehicle manufacturing products. It also provides engineering services for commercial vehicles, such as propulsion engineering, software and simulation, testing services, and smart production; OPTiForm, a battery enclosure, steel battery enclosures, aluminum battery enclosures, and hybrid battery enclosures; battery enclosure production and engineering solutions; SmartAccess, a B-Pillarless power door system; and composite EV battery covers. In addition, it offers energy management solutions; hot stamping, high strength steels, aluminum castings, and high-pressure vacuum casting; suspension links and arms, twist axle, carbon fiber subframe, and frames; ADAS and Automated Driving, including Cameras, thermal sensing, interior sensing, complete radar portfolio, and compute units; and chassis control, glow plug control, powertrain control, and mechatronic control modules. Further, it provides exterior and interior products comprising assist steps, engineered glass, exterior solutions, greenhouse surrounds, lighting, mechatronics, mirrors, and seating; and powertrain products consisting BEV, Hybrid, and ICE powertrain, as well as modules and components, and energy storage systems. Magna International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Aurora, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MG.TO reported revenue of $42.7B in FY2025 versus $36.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was $844M in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$42.7B
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−7.7% · in CAD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−9.8%
Dividend yield2.1%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −9.8% vs 10Y −4.8%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.2% (2020) → 5.0% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop165% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in CAD
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 $36.2B
FY22 $37.8B
FY23 $42.8B
FY24 $42.8B
FY25 $42.7B
Net income −13.6%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $592M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $844M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.5 %

of which total revenue +2.2 % · buybacks/dilution +4.2 %

EBIT margin −4.5 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MG.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MG.TO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 31
FUTURE23 · sector 39
PAST42 · sector 22
HEALTH65 · sector 99
DIVIDEND11 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $88.50 $47.50 −46%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,983 $2,287 −23%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 450,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +43%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MG.TO (MG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$94.43 versus a price of C$95.35, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MG?
Our model-based fair value for MG.TO is C$94.43 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$95.35.
What is the quality score of MG?
MG.TO has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MG.TO (MG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$94.43 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$70.82, optimistic scenario C$118.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MG.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$94.43, about −1% upside versus a price of C$95.35 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$70.82, optimistic scenario C$118.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MG.TO (MG)?
MG.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$42.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MG?
The net profit margin of MG.TO is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MG.TO pay a dividend?
MG.TO currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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