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Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mega Uranium Ltd $0.30, price $0.36, upside -16.7%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA58516W1041

MU Mega Uranium Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Mega Uranium Ltd

MGAFF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.3000 · Overvalued (−16.7%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −18.4 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$0.5700 $0.1300 Fair Value $0.3000 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1300 – $0.5700 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.4500 · the $0.3600 price screens above the $0.3000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Mega Uranium Ltd., a uranium mining and investment company, explores for uranium properties primarily in Canada and Australia. It explores for uranium and gold. The company holds interest in the Georgetown project located in Queensland, Australia; and Redport project situated in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Maple Minerals Corp.

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Mega Uranium Ltd., a uranium mining and investment company, explores for uranium properties primarily in Canada and Australia. It explores for uranium and gold. The company holds interest in the Georgetown project located in Queensland, Australia; and Redport project situated in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Maple Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Mega Uranium Ltd. in October 2005. Mega Uranium Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF) currently trades at $0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3000, 16.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.2200 (bear) to $0.4500 (bull), the price of $0.3600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Mega Uranium Ltd reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$3.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $173M · P/E ratio 36.0 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · EPS growth (YoY) +151% · Free cash flow −C$1.8M · Net debt C$18.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −17%, MGAFF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2200 Fair Value $0.3000 Bull $0.4500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−84.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.4%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+127.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,567.3% (2005) → −30,500.0% (2010)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MGAFF screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 22 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside −95.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.72× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cameco Corporation CCJ $87.04 $10.11 −88%
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $138.18 $55.95 −60%
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.12 HK$1.38 −35%
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $3.97 $1.62 −59%
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$1.17 A$0.4300 −63%
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.54 A$0.6000 −61%
Atha Energy Corp SASK C$1.07 C$0.4100 −62%
enCore Energy Corp EU C$1.45 C$1.12 −23%
Berkeley Energia Limited BKY A$0.4500 A$0.1600 −64%
Alligator Energy Limited AGE A$0.0360 A$0.0266 −26%

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$0.3000 −17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mega Uranium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGAFF

Frequently asked questions

Is Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3000 versus a price of $0.3600, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGAFF?
Our model-based fair value for Mega Uranium Ltd is $0.3000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3600.
What is the quality score of MGAFF?
Mega Uranium Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.4500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mega Uranium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3000, about −17% upside versus a price of $0.3600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.4500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mega Uranium Ltd it is $0.3000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mega Uranium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MGAFF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3600, fair value $0.3000, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGAFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3000). For Mega Uranium Ltd the two are $0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mega Uranium Ltd worth?
The market values Mega Uranium Ltd at about $173M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3600; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGAFF?
Our models span a range for Mega Uranium Ltd: cautious scenario $0.2200, base $0.3000, optimistic $0.4500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MGAFF?
Mega Uranium Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mega Uranium Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGAFF from its 52-week high?
Mega Uranium Ltd trades at $0.3600, about 37% below its 52-week high of $0.5700 and 44% above the low of $0.2500 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mega Uranium Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, Uranium Royalty Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mega Uranium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3600, calculated fair value $0.3000 (−17%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGAFF calculated?
We run Mega Uranium Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mega Uranium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.3600. Our model-based fair value is $0.3000, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mega Uranium Ltd right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($0.2200 to $0.4500) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Mega Uranium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
The market capitalisation of Mega Uranium Ltd is $173M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
Earnings per share at Mega Uranium Ltd are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mega Uranium Ltd is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mega Uranium Ltd is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF)?
Earnings per share at Mega Uranium Ltd are growing +151% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF) generate?
The free cash flow of Mega Uranium Ltd is −C$1.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mega Uranium Ltd (MGAFF) carry?
The net debt of Mega Uranium Ltd is C$18.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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