Magazine Luiza S.A (MGLUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $665M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $6.05 to $6.20 (+2.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 85% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.70 to $6.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.25 – $181.06 · fair‑value band $2.70 – $6.20 · the $3.36 price screens below the $6.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Magazine Luiza S.A (MGLUY) currently trades at $3.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.20, implying the stock looks roughly 84.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Magazine Luiza S.A generated revenue of $38.5B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at $6.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.70 (bear case) to $6.20 (bull case); at $3.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 85%, MGLUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($486.34) versus Earnings-Based ($11.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Magazine Luiza S.A. engages in the retail sale of consumer goods. It operates through Retail, Financial Operations and Other Services segments. The company also provides credit and financing services.
Full company description
Magazine Luiza S.A. engages in the retail sale of consumer goods. It operates through Retail, Financial Operations and Other Services segments. The company also provides credit and financing services. In addition, it is involved in the provision of consortium administration services; and e-commerce of perfumes, cosmetics, and fashion products, as well as software development services. Further, the company provides logistics and technological solutions, as well as resale goods and provision of services in the stores, electronic and food delivery management platform. It serves through physical stores, e-commerce platform, and SuperApp. Magazine Luiza S.A. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Franca, Brazil. Magazine Luiza S.A. operates as a subsidiary of LTD Administração e Participação S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Magazine Luiza S.A reported revenue of $37.9B in FY2025 versus $35.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $201M in FY2025, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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