Morgan Sindall Group PLC (MGNS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Morgan Sindall Group PLC £78.00, price £41.72, upside +87.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Morgan Sindall Group PLC
MGNS · LSEClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £11.78 – £54.02 · fair‑value band £59.04 – £122.33 · the £41.72 price screens below the £78.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Morgan Sindall Group plc operates as a construction and regeneration company in the United Kingdom. The company operates through six segments: Partnership Housing, Mixed Use Partnerships, Fit Out, Construction, Infrastructure, and Property Services.
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Morgan Sindall Group plc operates as a construction and regeneration company in the United Kingdom. The company operates through six segments: Partnership Housing, Mixed Use Partnerships, Fit Out, Construction, Infrastructure, and Property Services. The Partnership Housing segment focuses on working in partnerships with local authorities and housing associations, which includes mixed-tenure developments; building and developing homes for open market sale and for social/affordable rent; design and build house contracting; and planned maintenance and refurbishment. The Mixed Use Partnerships segment transforms urban landscape through partnership working and the development of multi-phase sites and mixed-use placemaking. The Fit Out segment offers fit out and refurbishment in commercial, central and local government offices, and further education, as well as provides office interior design and build services direct to occupiers. The Construction segment focuses on education, healthcare, commercial, industrial, leisure, and retail markets. The Property Services segment provides response and planned maintenance services for social housing and the wider public sector. The Infrastructure segment provides services to energy, nuclear, rail, highways, water, and defence markets, including BakerHicks design activities from the United Kingdom and Switzerland. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Morgan Sindall Group PLC (MGNS) currently trades at £41.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £78.00, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £93.69 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the £41.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £10.75, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £59.04 (bear) to £122.33 (bull), the price of £41.72 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Morgan Sindall Group PLC reported revenue of £5.0B in FY2025 versus £3.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was £175M in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B GBX · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) £3.55 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 87%, MGNS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Morgan Sindall Group PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 844 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.63 | $163.08 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €112.30 | €185.62 | +65% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,625 | $1,122 | −31% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,866 | ₹1,994 | −48% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $56.30 | $24.01 | −57% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 264,296 KRW | −28% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €403.60 | €203.87 | −49% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.95 | €75.04 | −22% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $756.50 | $521.87 | −31% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $221.69 | $106.05 | −52% |
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Key figures of Morgan Sindall Group PLC
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