Migros Ticaret A.S., (MGROS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 102B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −8.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 33% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 571.94 TRY (bear) to 953.23 TRY (bull), base 762.58 TRY. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 29.28 TRY – 724.00 TRY · fair‑value band 571.94 TRY – 953.23 TRY · the 572.00 TRY price screens below the 762.58 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Migros Ticaret A.S., (MGROS) currently trades at 572.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 762.58 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Migros Ticaret A.S., generated revenue of 419B TRY at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 740M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 571.94 TRY (bear case) to 953.23 TRY (bull case); at 572.00 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 33%, MGROS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,091 TRY) versus Asset-Based (297.33 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Migros Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail sale of food and beverages, and consumer goods in Turkey. It is also involved in online food retailing; takeout food business; provision of payment and e-money, motorcycle courier, electric vehicle charging, and corporate payment services, as well as shopping mall management.
Full company description
Migros Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail sale of food and beverages, and consumer goods in Turkey. It is also involved in online food retailing; takeout food business; provision of payment and e-money, motorcycle courier, electric vehicle charging, and corporate payment services, as well as shopping mall management. In addition, the company engages in media, logistics, and fintech businesses; and production of packaged food production. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Migros Ticaret A.S., reported revenue of 413B TRL in FY2025 versus 36.3B TRL in FY2021, a compound +83.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.5B TRL in FY2025, compounding +106.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 84 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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