Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Mangata Holding S.A. PLN 107, price PLN 61.60, upside +73.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 48.05 PLN – 88.59 PLN · fair‑value band 80.14 PLN – 133.57 PLN · the 61.60 PLN price screens below the 106.86 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mangata Holding S.A. manufactures and sells fittings, castings, fasteners, and components in Poland, the European Union, and internationally. It operates through Motorization Components, Fittings and Industrial Automation, Fasteners, and Non-Productive Activities segments.
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Mangata Holding S.A. manufactures and sells fittings, castings, fasteners, and components in Poland, the European Union, and internationally. It operates through Motorization Components, Fittings and Industrial Automation, Fasteners, and Non-Productive Activities segments. The company offers forgings, exhaust systems, and metal components; and car parts, mechanical parts for vacuum pumps, servo drive parts, parts for construction and agricultural machinery, and hydraulic units. It also provides stop, bellow, check, butterfly, ball, and gate valves; and strainers, backflow preventers, and rubber expansion joints. In addition, the company offers engineering services for the implementation of the research and development of industrial valves. Further, it provides bolts, nuts, washers, rivets, and other fasteners. The company serves the automotive, mining, construction, gas and power, agriculture, heating distribution and technology, ventilation and air conditioning, water supply and sewage system, shipbuilding, industrial valve, control of valve, railway, and machine industries. It exports its products to approximately 70 countries, including Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, Sweden, France, Egypt, Indonesia, Brazil, China, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ZETKAMA Spólka Akcyjna and changed its name to Mangata Holding S.A. in September 2016. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Bielsko-Biala, Poland. Mangata Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of Capital MBO Spolka z ograniczona odpowiedzialnoscia.
Stock analysis
Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) currently trades at 61.60 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 106.86 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 42.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 159.03 PLN per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 61.60 PLN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 40.54 PLN, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 80.14 PLN (bear) to 133.57 PLN (bull), the price of 61.60 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Mangata Holding S.A. reported revenue of 769M PLN in FY2025 versus 791M PLN in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 41.7M PLN in FY2025, compounding −12.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 411M PLN (≈ $107M) · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) 5.96 PLN · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 73%, MGT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 80.14 PLNFair Value 106.86 PLNBull 133.57 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.07 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+75% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 106.86 PLN versus a price of 61.60 PLN, about +73% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MGT?
Our model-based fair value for Mangata Holding S.A. is 106.86 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 61.60 PLN.
What is the quality score of MGT?
Mangata Holding S.A. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 106.86 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 80.14 PLN, optimistic scenario 133.57 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mangata Holding S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 106.86 PLN, about +73% upside versus a price of 61.60 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 80.14 PLN, optimistic scenario 133.57 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Mangata Holding S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 779M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mangata Holding S.A. pay a dividend?
Mangata Holding S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mangata Holding S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by -12.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MGT use?
Our models discount Mangata Holding S.A. at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mangata Holding S.A. that is -12.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mangata Holding S.A. grew +6.3 % a year. The price currently implies -12.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mangata Holding S.A. (-12.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.86 %: that much free cash flow Mangata Holding S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mangata Holding S.A. it is 106.86 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 61.60 PLN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mangata Holding S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MGT trades below its calculated fair value: price 61.60 PLN, fair value 106.86 PLN, a gap of about +73% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (61.60 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (106.86 PLN). For Mangata Holding S.A. the two are 45.26 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mangata Holding S.A. worth?
The market values Mangata Holding S.A. at about 411M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 61.60 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 106.86 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGT?
Our models span a range for Mangata Holding S.A.: cautious scenario 80.14 PLN, base 106.86 PLN, optimistic 133.57 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 61.60 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MGT?
Mangata Holding S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 106.86 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
What is the PEG ratio of MGT?
The PEG ratio of Mangata Holding S.A. is 2.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mangata Holding S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGT from its 52-week high?
Mangata Holding S.A. trades at 61.60 PLN, about 15% below its 52-week high of 72.56 PLN and 28% above the low of 48.12 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 106.86 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mangata Holding S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mangata Holding S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 61.60 PLN, calculated fair value 106.86 PLN (+73%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MGT calculated?
We run Mangata Holding S.A. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 106.86 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mangata Holding S.A. currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 61.60 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 106.86 PLN, about +73% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mangata Holding S.A. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (80.14 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) come from?
Earnings per share at Mangata Holding S.A. grew +0.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.8 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mangata Holding S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The market capitalisation of Mangata Holding S.A. is 411M PLN (≈ $107M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mangata Holding S.A. is 0.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Earnings per share at Mangata Holding S.A. are 5.96 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The dividend yield of Mangata Holding S.A. is 7.3% (payout 75.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The net margin of Mangata Holding S.A. is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mangata Holding S.A. is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mangata Holding S.A. is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
The operating margin of Mangata Holding S.A. is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Revenue at Mangata Holding S.A. is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT)?
Earnings per share at Mangata Holding S.A. are growing −23.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mangata Holding S.A. (MGT) carry?
The net debt of Mangata Holding S.A. is 85.8M PLN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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