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Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust
MHCUF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $31.35 · Strongly undervalued (+51%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +20.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 84.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·3.12% dividend yield
✓Wide moat 68/100
!The models disagree: range $6.27 to $46.55
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.18 – $23.00 · fair‑value band $6.27 – $46.55 · the $20.70 price screens below the $31.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is a leading operator of affordable residential MHCs primarily serving working families seeking affordable home ownership.
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Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is a leading operator of affordable residential MHCs primarily serving working families seeking affordable home ownership. The REIT owns and operates exceptional residential living experiences and investment opportunities in family-oriented communities in Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, Tennessee, Arkansas, Missouri, West Virginia, and Illinois. Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust was established on Augusr 12, 2020 and incorporated in Ontario, Canada.
Stock analysis
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) currently trades at $20.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.35, implying the stock looks roughly 34.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $46.39 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the $20.70 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $6.53, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.27 (bear) to $46.55 (bull), the price of $20.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of $103M in FY2025 versus $43.1M in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was $116M in FY2025, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $575M · P/E ratio 3.1 · P/S ratio 3.52 · EPS (TTM) $6.56 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 112% · Return on equity 19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 51%, MHCUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.27
Fair Value $31.35
Bull $46.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.04 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$4.48
$34.03
77
Growth DCF
n/a
$6.53
$30.97
75
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$20.22
$64.11
69
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$4.48
$34.03
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$20.22
$64.11
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$5.29
$33.21
$87.13
64
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
$26.27
$49.49
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.58
$38.34
$107.18
58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$6.26
$11.28
$15.53
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$6.26
$10.31
$12.05
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$25.98
$34.64
$43.29
58
P/B Multiple
$53.25
$71.00
$88.74
55
EV/EBIT
$20.90
$36.83
$52.76
64
EV/EBITDA
$10.38
$22.81
$35.24
63
EV/Revenue
n/a
$10.40
$21.59
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$17.75
$23.78
$35.50
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$6.53
$30.97
75
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$26.95
$74.27
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$34.87
$46.39
$135.12
66
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Profitability
46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
1
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.3%
’19
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+39.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+36.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.51% → 54%
2025 sits 93% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+17.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.6%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 46 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $68.14 | $51.89 | −24% |
| EQR EQR | $68.14 | $36.19 | −47% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $272.91 | $210.20 | −23% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $27.54 | $20.80 | −24% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $124.79 | $90.18 | −28% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $114.48 | $135.78 | +19% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $35.12 | $22.66 | −35% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $31.48 | $43.83 | +39% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $60.08 | $20.93 | −65% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $103.01 | $41.51 | −60% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.35 versus a price of $20.70, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MHCUF?
Our model-based fair value for Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is $31.35 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.70.
What is the quality score of MHCUF?
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $31.35 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.27, optimistic scenario $46.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $31.35, about +51% upside versus a price of $20.70 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.27, optimistic scenario $46.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $108M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +17.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +37.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MHCUF use?
Our models discount Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust that is +17.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust grew +37.3 % a year. The price currently implies +17.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (+17.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.63 %: that much free cash flow Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust it is $31.35 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $20.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MHCUF trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.70, fair value $31.35, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MHCUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($31.35). For Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust the two are $10.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust worth?
The market values Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust at about $575M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $20.70; our models calculate a fair value of $31.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MHCUF?
Our models span a range for Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust: cautious scenario $6.27, base $31.35, optimistic $46.55 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $20.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MHCUF?
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $31.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 18.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 14.5%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MHCUF from its 52-week high?
Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust trades at $20.70, about 0% below its 52-week high of $20.72 and 23% above the low of $16.89 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $31.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value AvalonBay Communities, Inc, EQR, Essex Property Trust, Inc, Invitation Homes, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $20.70, calculated fair value $31.35 (+51%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MHCUF calculated?
We run Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $31.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.27 to $46.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The market capitalisation of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is $575M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 3.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Earnings per share at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust are $6.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The dividend yield of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 3.1% (payout 9.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The net margin of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 112% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
The operating margin of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is 53.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Revenue at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is growing +20.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF)?
Earnings per share at Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust are growing +110% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust (MHCUF) carry?
The net debt of Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust is $524M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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