Metal Hawk Limited (MHK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Metal Hawk Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Metal Hawk Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resource projects in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, lithium, nickel sulphide, and base metals deposits.
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Metal Hawk Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resource projects in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, lithium, nickel sulphide, and base metals deposits. The company hold interest in the flagship project the Leinster South that covers an area of approximately 430 kilometer square located in south of Leinster, West Australian goldfields. Metal Hawk Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Metal Hawk Limited (MHK) currently trades at A$0.0910, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0147, implying the stock looks roughly 519.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.0300 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.0910 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Metal Hawk Limited reported revenue of A$0 in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$10.0M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap A$18.5M (≈ $13.2M) · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 6.09 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 32.3% · Return on equity 15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −84%, MHK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0147Fair Value A$0.0147Bull A$0.0147
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets−20% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−41% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)9.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B2.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)4.39× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)61· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Metal Hawk Limited (MHK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0147 versus a price of A$0.0910, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MHK?
Our model-based fair value for Metal Hawk Limited is A$0.0147 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0910.
What is the quality score of MHK?
Metal Hawk Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0147 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metal Hawk Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0147, about −84% upside versus a price of A$0.0910 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Metal Hawk Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Metal Hawk Limited pay a dividend?
Metal Hawk Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metal Hawk Limited it is A$0.0147 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0910. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metal Hawk Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MHK trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0910, fair value A$0.0147, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MHK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0910); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0147). For Metal Hawk Limited the two are A$0.0763 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metal Hawk Limited worth?
The market values Metal Hawk Limited at about A$18.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0910; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0147 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of MHK?
Metal Hawk Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0147 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metal Hawk Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 15.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Metal Hawk Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metal Hawk Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0910, calculated fair value A$0.0147 (−84%), Quality Score 35/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MHK calculated?
We run Metal Hawk Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0147, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Metal Hawk Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Metal Hawk Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0147). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Metal Hawk Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The market capitalisation of Metal Hawk Limited is A$18.5M (≈ $13.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metal Hawk Limited is 6.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Earnings per share at Metal Hawk Limited are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The dividend yield of Metal Hawk Limited is 1.3% (payout 11.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The net margin of Metal Hawk Limited is 32.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metal Hawk Limited is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metal Hawk Limited is −22.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
The operating margin of Metal Hawk Limited is −40.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metal Hawk Limited (MHK)?
Revenue at Metal Hawk Limited is growing +22.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Metal Hawk Limited (MHK) generate?
The free cash flow of Metal Hawk Limited is −A$1.0M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Metal Hawk Limited (MHK) hold?
Metal Hawk Limited holds more cash than debt, A$4.9M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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