Mayfair Gold Corp. (MINE) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $174M · ISIN US6031711095
What is Mayfair Gold Corp. really worth?
Mayfair Gold Corp.
MINE · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 461% above our fair value of $0.5600.
As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of Mayfair Gold Corp. is $0.5600 per share against a price of $3.14, so the fair value sits 82% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from $0.5700 to $0.5600 (−1.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +25.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3700 to $0.7100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $4.64 · fair‑value band $0.3700 – $0.7100 · the $3.14 price screens above the $0.5600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Mayfair Gold Corp. (MINE) currently trades at $3.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5600, implying the stock looks roughly 460.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.7M. Revenue declined 73.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −45.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $38.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3700 (bear case) to $0.7100 (bull case); at $3.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −82%, MINE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.5200) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Mayfair Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in Canada. It primarily explores for gold deposits.
Full company description
Mayfair Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in Canada. It primarily explores for gold deposits. Its flagship project is the 100%-owned Fenn-Gib gold project, which comprises 21 fee simple patented properties, 145 unpatented mining claims, and six mining lease properties covering an area of 1,877.8 hectares located in the Guibord, Munro, Michaud, and McCool Townships in northeast Ontario. Mayfair Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Matheson, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mayfair Gold Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$10.0M in FY2025.
MINE screens 461% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- MAYFAIR GOLD APPOINTS CHIEF PROJECTS OFFICER AND SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT, SUSTAINABILITY AS FENN-GIB ADVANCES TOWARD DEVELOPMENT
- MAYFAIR GOLD REPORTS Q2 2026 OPERATING AND FINANCIAL RESULTS
- MAYFAIR GOLD PROVIDES Q2 2026 UPDATE ON FENN-GIB PROJECT ADVANCEMENT AND DE-RISKING ACTIVITIES
- MAYFAIR ANNOUNCES RESULTS OF 2026 ANNUAL GENERAL AND SPECIAL MEETING AND GRANT OF STOCK OPTIONS
Peer Group
Gold · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $266.18 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $30.87 | $34.62 | +12% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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