Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Mishtann Foods Ltd ₹2.54, price ₹3.17, upside -19.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2.46 – ₹24.43 · fair‑value band ₹1.17 – ₹3.30 · the ₹3.17 price screens above the ₹2.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
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Mishtann Foods Limited engages in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of basmati and raw rice, rice, wheat, dal, salt, and other food grains in India. The company was formerly known as HICS Cements Ltd. and changed its name to Mishtann Foods Limited in February 2015. Mishtann Foods Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN) currently trades at ₹3.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.54, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ₹20.47 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹3.17 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹8.09, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.17 (bear) to ₹3.30 (bull), the price of ₹3.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mishtann Foods Ltd reported revenue of ₹11.5B in FY2025 versus ₹5.0B in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.6B in FY2025, compounding +70.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.4B (≈ $35.7M) · P/E ratio 1.9 · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.67 · Net margin 22.8% · Return on equity 23.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 31.8% · Operating margin 5.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, MISHTANN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.17Fair Value ₹2.54Bull ₹3.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+70.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+70.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 23%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−95% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.54 versus a price of ₹3.17, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MISHTANN?
Our model-based fair value for Mishtann Foods Ltd is ₹2.54 (as of Sep 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3.17.
What is the quality score of MISHTANN?
Mishtann Foods Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.54 (as of Sep 25, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.17, optimistic scenario ₹3.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mishtann Foods Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.54, about −20% upside versus a price of ₹3.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.17, optimistic scenario ₹3.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Mishtann Foods Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mishtann Foods Ltd it is ₹2.54 per share (as of Sep 25, 2026), against a price of ₹3.17. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mishtann Foods Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 25, 2026, MISHTANN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹3.17, fair value ₹2.54, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MISHTANN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.54). For Mishtann Foods Ltd the two are ₹0.6290 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mishtann Foods Ltd worth?
The market values Mishtann Foods Ltd at about ₹3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 25, 2026). Per share that is ₹3.17; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MISHTANN?
Our models span a range for Mishtann Foods Ltd: cautious scenario ₹1.17, base ₹2.54, optimistic ₹3.30 per share (as of Sep 25, 2026, price ₹3.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MISHTANN?
Mishtann Foods Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.9 (as of Sep 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 2.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mishtann Foods Ltd (as of Sep 25, 2026): return on equity 23.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MISHTANN from its 52-week high?
Mishtann Foods Ltd trades at ₹3.17, about 43% below its 52-week high of ₹5.61 and 6% above the low of ₹3.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mishtann Foods Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mishtann Foods Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 25, 2026: price ₹3.17, calculated fair value ₹2.54 (−20%), Quality Score 43/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MISHTANN calculated?
We run Mishtann Foods Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Mishtann Foods Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹3.17. Our model-based fair value is ₹2.54, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mishtann Foods Ltd right now?
Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹1.17 to ₹3.30). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Mishtann Foods Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The market capitalisation of Mishtann Foods Ltd is ₹3.4B (≈ $35.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mishtann Foods Ltd is 0.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Earnings per share at Mishtann Foods Ltd are ₹1.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The net margin of Mishtann Foods Ltd is 22.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mishtann Foods Ltd is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mishtann Foods Ltd is 31.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
The operating margin of Mishtann Foods Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN)?
Revenue at Mishtann Foods Ltd is growing −95.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN) generate?
The free cash flow of Mishtann Foods Ltd is −₹655M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mishtann Foods Ltd (MISHTANN) carry?
The net debt of Mishtann Foods Ltd is ₹620M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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