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Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc (MIUFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $11.7B

MH Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc logo Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc MIUFY · US
Price$17.40
Fair Value$19.00
Upside+9.2%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
3.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $14.25 – $24.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $19.31 to $19.00 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.34 $5.37 Fair Value $19.00 Jul 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.37 – $19.34 · fair‑value band $14.25 – $24.97 · the $17.40 price screens below the $19.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc (MIUFY) currently trades at $17.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.00, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc generated revenue of $2.2T at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $9.6T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.25 (bear case) to $24.97 (bull case); at $17.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 9%, MIUFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $2,336 $3,114 $3,893 63
Residual Income $2,358 $2,557 $3,262 61
P/B Multiple $2,923 $3,898 $4,872 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1,796 $7,848 $17,440 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,629 $5,771 $7,769 54
Lynch FV $1,353 $1,933 $2,513 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2,336 $3,114 $3,893 63
P/B Multiple $2,923 $3,898 $4,872 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,392 $1,865 $2,784 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2,358 $2,557 $3,262 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7,848) versus Asset-Based ($1,865). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.2T
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow −$358B FY2026
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.41
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +82.6%
Net debt $9.6T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the lease, installment sale, and other financing activities in Japan, North America, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle, Asia, Oceania, and internationally.

Full company description

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the lease, installment sale, and other financing activities in Japan, North America, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle, Asia, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Customer Solutions, Global Business, Environment & Energy, Aviation, Logistics, Real Estate, and Mobility segments. The company engages in the provision of finance solutions for companies and government agencies; energy-saving; sales finance though collaboration with vendors; real estate leasing; renewable energy power generation; and environment related finance solutions. It offers aircraft and aircraft engine leasing; marine container and railway freight car leasing; auto leasing and supplementary services; and real estate securitization finance, revitalization investment, and asset management services. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Chiyoda-ku, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2026 versus $1.8T in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was $172B in FY2026, compounding +14.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.3T
Latest YoY
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+7.8%
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY22 $1.8T
FY23 $1.9T
FY24 $2.0T
FY25 $2.1T
FY26 $2.3T
Net income +14.7%/yr
FY22 $99.4B
FY23 $116B
FY24 $124B
FY25 $135B
FY26 $172B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MIUFY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 35
FUTURE 16 · sector 39
PAST 34 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc (MIUFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.00 versus a price of $17.40, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MIUFY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc is $19.00 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.40.
What is the quality score of MIUFY?
Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc (MIUFY)?
Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MIUFY?
The net profit margin of Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc pay a dividend?
Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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