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Major Development Public Company (MJD) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TH · Market cap 275M THB

MD Major Development Public Company MJD · BK
Price0.3400 THB
Fair Value0.8000 THB
Upside+135.3%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -85.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.6000 THB – 1.20 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 0.7800 THB to 0.8000 THB (+2.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 135% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6000 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.6000 THB to 1.20 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.36 THB 0.3000 THB Fair Value 0.8000 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3000 THB – 2.36 THB · fair‑value band 0.6000 THB – 1.20 THB · the 0.3400 THB price screens below the 0.8000 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Major Development Public Company (MJD) currently trades at 0.3400 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8000 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 135.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Major Development Public Company generated revenue of 2.4B THB at a net margin of -85.6%. Revenue grew 89.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -64.2%. Net debt stands at 11.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6000 THB (bear case) to 1.20 THB (bull case); at 0.3400 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 135%, MJD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 1.32 THB 1.76 THB 2.63 THB 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.32 THB 1.76 THB 2.63 THB 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +89.7%
Net margin -85.6%
Return on equity -64.2%
Free cash flow −21.8M THB FY2025
Operating margin 17.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.41 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +31.3%
Net debt 11.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Major Development Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and sale of properties in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Property Development, Hotel Business, and Rental and Service Business. It develops and sells land, houses, and residential condominium units.

Full company description

Major Development Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and sale of properties in Thailand. The company operates through three segments: Property Development, Hotel Business, and Rental and Service Business. It develops and sells land, houses, and residential condominium units. The company is also involved in the hotel business; office building space rental and service; and real estate agency, representative, and advisory business. In addition, it provides organizational development and management consulting services; and accommodates health business. Major Development Public Company Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Major Development Public Company reported revenue of 2.0B THB in FY2025 versus 4.3B THB in FY2021, a compound −17.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.1B THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B THB
Latest YoY
−16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Revenue −17.6%/yr
FY21 4.3B THB
FY22 2.8B THB
FY23 2.2B THB
FY24 2.4B THB
FY25 2.0B THB
Net income
FY21 −353M THB
FY22 −370M THB
FY23 −329M THB
FY24 −299M THB
FY25 −2.1B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Major Development Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MJD

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +135% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -86% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth 90% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 69 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Major Development Public Company (MJD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8000 THB versus a price of 0.3400 THB, about +135% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MJD?
Our model-based fair value for Major Development Public Company is 0.8000 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.3400 THB.
What is the quality score of MJD?
Major Development Public Company has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Major Development Public Company (MJD)?
Major Development Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MJD?
The net profit margin of Major Development Public Company is about -85.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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