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Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Majestic Gold Corp $0.12, price $0.07, upside +78.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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MG
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Majestic Gold Corp
MJGCF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $0.1230 · Strongly undervalued (+78.8%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0227 – $0.1603 · fair‑value band $0.0933 – $0.1601 · the $0.0688 price screens below the $0.1230 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Majestic Gold Corp., a mining company, focuses on exploration, development, and operation of mining properties in China. The company primarily explores for gold ores. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Surrey, Canada.
Stock analysis
Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) currently trades at $0.0688, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1230, implying the stock looks roughly 44.1% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.3300 per share, and 23 of the 25 models we run sit above the $0.0688 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.0600, and 2 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0933 (bear) to $0.1601 (bull), the price of $0.0688 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Majestic Gold Corp reported revenue of $90.8M in FY2025 versus $38.4M in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9M in FY2025, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $83.2M · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 6.7% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 79%, MJGCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0933
Fair Value $0.1230
Bull $0.1601
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.2700
$0.3400
$0.5100
81
Growth DCF
$0.2700
$0.3500
$0.4600
80
Residual Income
$0.1000
$0.1000
$0.1000
76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.2700
$0.3400
$0.5100
81
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4400
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3800
$0.6200
$0.9300
74
5Y P/E Exit
$0.2400
$0.3100
$0.4000
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4500
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3300
$0.5100
$0.8300
67
10Y P/E Exit
$0.2500
$0.3200
$0.4100
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0400
$0.2700
$0.3700
63
Lynch FV
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1400
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1400
57
EPV
$0.2800
$0.3000
$0.3100
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0400
$0.0600
$0.0800
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0400
$0.0600
$0.0700
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1400
63
P/S Multiple
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1400
58
P/B Multiple
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1400
55
EV/EBIT
$0.4900
$0.6000
$0.7100
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.4700
$0.5800
$0.6800
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2400
$0.2800
$0.3200
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0700
$0.1000
$0.1400
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.2700
$0.3500
$0.4600
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4400
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1000
$0.1000
$0.1000
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.2800
$0.3000
$0.3100
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1900
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Profitability
26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 37%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 232 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$143.10 | HK$238.73 | +67% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1230 versus a price of $0.0688, about +79% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MJGCF?
Our model-based fair value for Majestic Gold Corp is $0.1230 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0688.
What is the quality score of MJGCF?
Majestic Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1230 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0933, optimistic scenario $0.1601. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Majestic Gold Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1230, about +79% upside versus a price of $0.0688 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0933, optimistic scenario $0.1601. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Majestic Gold Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $93.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Majestic Gold Corp pay a dividend?
Majestic Gold Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Majestic Gold Corp would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MJGCF use?
Our models discount Majestic Gold Corp at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.43, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Majestic Gold Corp that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Majestic Gold Corp grew +11.6 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Majestic Gold Corp (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.04 %: that much free cash flow Majestic Gold Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Majestic Gold Corp it is $0.1230 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0688. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Majestic Gold Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MJGCF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0688, fair value $0.1230, a gap of about +79% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MJGCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0688); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1230). For Majestic Gold Corp the two are $0.0542 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Majestic Gold Corp worth?
The market values Majestic Gold Corp at about $83.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0688; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1230 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MJGCF?
Our models span a range for Majestic Gold Corp: cautious scenario $0.0933, base $0.1230, optimistic $0.1601 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0688). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MJGCF?
Majestic Gold Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.1230 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Majestic Gold Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MJGCF from its 52-week high?
Majestic Gold Corp trades at $0.0688, about 57% below its 52-week high of $0.1603 and 6% above the low of $0.0650 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1230 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Majestic Gold Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Majestic Gold Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0688, calculated fair value $0.1230 (+79%), Quality Score 46/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MJGCF calculated?
We run Majestic Gold Corp through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1230, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Majestic Gold Corp currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0688. Our model-based fair value is $0.1230, about +79% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Majestic Gold Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0933). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Majestic Gold Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The market capitalisation of Majestic Gold Corp is $83.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Majestic Gold Corp is 0.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Earnings per share at Majestic Gold Corp are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The dividend yield of Majestic Gold Corp is 6.7% (payout 46.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The net margin of Majestic Gold Corp is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Majestic Gold Corp is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Majestic Gold Corp is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
The operating margin of Majestic Gold Corp is 55.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Revenue at Majestic Gold Corp is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF)?
Earnings per share at Majestic Gold Corp are growing −3.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Majestic Gold Corp (MJGCF) hold?
Majestic Gold Corp holds more cash than debt, $117M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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