MCAN Mortgage Corporation (MKP) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$1.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$10.18 – C$26.51 · fair‑value band C$17.94 – C$29.89 · the C$23.59 price screens below the C$23.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MCAN Mortgage Corporation (MKP) currently trades at C$23.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$23.91, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MCAN Mortgage Corporation generated revenue of C$143M at a net margin of 57.0%. Revenue grew 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at C$3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$17.94 (bear case) to C$29.89 (bull case); at C$23.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 1%, MKP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (C$454.40) versus Asset-Based (C$10.62). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MCAN Mortgage Corporation operates as a loan and mortgage investment corporation in Canada. The company engages in real estate lending and investing, including residential mortgage and construction lending, non-residential construction and commercial lending, as well as portfolio of securities, loans, real estate investments and private investment …
Full company description
MCAN Mortgage Corporation operates as a loan and mortgage investment corporation in Canada. The company engages in real estate lending and investing, including residential mortgage and construction lending, non-residential construction and commercial lending, as well as portfolio of securities, loans, real estate investments and private investment activities. It also provides term deposits through a network of independent financial agents, as well as through a direct-to-consumer channel. The company was formerly known as MCAP Inc. and changed its name to MCAN Mortgage Corporation in September 2006. MCAN Mortgage Corporation was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MCAN Mortgage Corporation reported revenue of C$295M in FY2025 versus C$96.5M in FY2021, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$74.9M in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +21.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Mortgage Finance · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT | $14.62 | $29.24 | +100% |
| Rocket Companies, Inc RKT | $14.05 | $10.56 | -25% |
| Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS | $10.02 | $2.02 | -80% |
| Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL | ₹84.75 | ₹39.96 | -53% |
| LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN | ₹502.00 | ₹1,004 | +100% |
| PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING | ₹1,165 | ₹762.89 | -35% |
| Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC | ₹502.00 | ₹325.75 | -35% |
| Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited APTUS | ₹254.75 | ₹244.80 | -4% |
| Home First Finance Company HOMEFIRST | ₹1,181 | ₹455.73 | -61% |
| Aavas Financiers Limited AAVAS | ₹1,416 | ₹675.38 | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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