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Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A (MLHIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €17.5M

SH Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A MLHIN · PA
Price€282.00
Fair Value€118.52
Upside-58.0%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Moderate debt
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range €82.96 – €120.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€120.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€323.04 €128.82 Fair Value €118.52 Feb 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €128.82 – €323.04 · fair‑value band €82.96 – €120.87 · the €282.00 price screens above the €118.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A (MLHIN) currently trades at €282.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €118.52, implying the stock looks roughly 58.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A generated revenue of €6.6M at a net margin of 4.1%. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at €7.1M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 53.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €82.96 (bear case) to €120.87 (bull case); at €282.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -58%, MLHIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E €82.96 €118.52 €154.08 68
P/E Multiple €80.96 €107.95 €134.94 63
Residual Income €150.97 €137.58 €93.69 61
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €33.37 €194.89 €271.26 54
Lynch FV €55.16 €78.81 €102.45 50
PEG = 1.0 €55.16 €78.81 €102.45 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple €80.96 €107.95 €134.94 63
P/S Multiple €62.56 €83.42 €104.27 58
P/B Multiple €62.56 €83.42 €104.27 55
EV/EBIT €24.37 €72.64 €120.91 53
EV/Revenue €19.01 €60.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €119.44 €160.05 €238.89 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €150.97 €137.58 €93.69 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €82.96 €118.52 €154.08 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€160.05) versus Earnings-Based (€78.81). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €6.6M
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 2.0%
P/E ratio 53.2
Operating margin 5.4%
EPS (TTM) €4.85
More key figures
Net debt €7.1M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A. engages in the hotel business in France. It operates hotels under the Splendid Hotel & Spa and Gounod names; manages a spa under the Splendid Spa name; and engages in the real estate of a villa with 3 apartments. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Nice, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A reported revenue of €8.1M in FY2024 versus €1.7M in FY2020, a compound +47.1%/yr. Reported net income was €288K in FY2024.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
€8.1M
Latest YoY
+20.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Revenue +47.1%/yr
FY20 €1.7M
FY21 €2.5M
FY22 €6.6M
FY23 €6.7M
FY24 €8.1M
Net income
FY20 −€1.6M
FY21 −€239K
FY22 €271K
FY23 €259K
FY24 €288K

MLHIN screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLHIN

Peer Group

Lodging · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.04× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 1
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 8 · sector 11
HEALTH 72 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A (MLHIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €118.52 versus a price of €282.00, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLHIN?
Our model-based fair value for Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A is €118.52 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €282.00.
What is the quality score of MLHIN?
Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A (MLHIN)?
Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLHIN?
The net profit margin of Société Hôtelière et Immobilière de Nice S.A is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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