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Martin Midstream Partners L.P., (MMLP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $93.5M

MM Martin Midstream Partners L.P., logo Martin Midstream Partners L.P., MMLP · US
Price$2.45
Fair Value$1.13
Upside-53.9%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.8% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
0.78% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range $0.2260 – $4.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.2260 to $4.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.58 $2.00 Fair Value $1.13 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $5.58 · fair‑value band $0.2260 – $4.52 · the $2.45 price screens above the $1.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., (MMLP) currently trades at $2.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.13, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Martin Midstream Partners L.P., generated revenue of $711M at a net margin of -2.8%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $525M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2260 (bear case) to $4.52 (bull case); at $2.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -54%, MMLP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.1700 to $4.63). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4100 $5.15 74
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.1700 $0.2000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2100 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3500 $5.89 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.74 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2000 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.1700 $0.2000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2100 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.04 $4.03 53
EV/EBITDA $0.2200 $3.95 $7.67 54
EV/Revenue $4.63 $9.30 43
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4100 $5.15 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.95) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1700). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $711M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.5%
Net margin -2.8%
Free cash flow $21.4M FY2025
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) $-0.5100
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +231%
Net debt $525M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products.

Full company description

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products. The company owns or operates various marine shore-based terminal facilities and specialty terminal facilities, as well as naphthenic lubricants refinery; and offers storage, refining, and handling services for producers and suppliers of petroleum products, handling services for molten sulfur and asphalt, land rental services to oil and gas companies, and storage and handling services for lubricants and fuels. It also engages in the operation of land and marine transportation assets that transport petroleum products and by-products, petrochemicals, and chemicals; and provides refinery and petrochemical services, including transportation of heavy tank bottoms by-products and other petroleum products, hauling natural gas liquids, molten sulfur, sulfuric acid, paper mill liquids, chemicals, and other bulk liquid commodities. In addition, the company processes and distributes molten sulfur into prilled or pelletized sulfur; owns and operates sulfur-based fertilizer production plants and an emulsified sulfur blending plant; and manufactures and markets sulfur-based fertilizer and related sulfur products, such as ammonium sulfate, liquid sulfur, plant nutrient sulfur, Industrial sulfur, and sulfuric acid. Further, it is involved in owning and operating facilities for the blending, processing, packaging, marketing and distribution of private label agricultural, automotive, and industrial lubricants, as well as commercial and industrial greases; selling and distributing natural gas liquids; and storing and transporting of natural gas liquids for wholesale deliveries. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Kilgore, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., reported revenue of $716M in FY2025 versus $882M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 32/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$716M
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 $882M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $798M
FY24 $708M
FY25 $716M
Net income
FY21 −$211K
FY22 −$10.3M
FY23 −$4.4M
FY24 −$5.1M
FY25 −$14.5M

MMLP screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Martin Midstream Partners L.P., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMLP

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 7.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 41
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Martin Midstream Partners L.P., (MMLP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.13 versus a price of $2.45, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MMLP?
Our model-based fair value for Martin Midstream Partners L.P., is $1.13 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.45.
What is the quality score of MMLP?
Martin Midstream Partners L.P., has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Martin Midstream Partners L.P., (MMLP)?
Martin Midstream Partners L.P., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $711M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MMLP?
The net profit margin of Martin Midstream Partners L.P., is about -2.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Martin Midstream Partners L.P., pay a dividend?
Martin Midstream Partners L.P., currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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