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Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Martin Midstream Partners LP $6.16, price $2.22, upside +178.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US5733311055

MM Martin Midstream Partners LP logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Martin Midstream Partners LP

MMLP · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $6.16 · Strongly undervalued (+178%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
·0.90% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $2.54 to $11.05
!Weak on dividend: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.58 $2.00 Fair Value $6.16 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $5.58 · fair‑value band $2.54 – $11.05 · the $2.22 price screens below the $6.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products.

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Martin Midstream Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides terminalling, processing, and storage services for petroleum products and by-products in the United States. It operates through four segments: Terminalling and Storage, Transportation, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products. The company owns or operates various marine shore-based terminal facilities and specialty terminal facilities, as well as naphthenic lubricants refinery; and offers storage, refining, and handling services for producers and suppliers of petroleum products, handling services for molten sulfur and asphalt, land rental services to oil and gas companies, and storage and handling services for lubricants and fuels. It also engages in the operation of land and marine transportation assets that transport petroleum products and by-products, petrochemicals, and chemicals; and provides refinery and petrochemical services, including transportation of heavy tank bottoms by-products and other petroleum products, hauling natural gas liquids, molten sulfur, sulfuric acid, paper mill liquids, chemicals, and other bulk liquid commodities. In addition, the company processes and distributes molten sulfur into prilled or pelletized sulfur; owns and operates sulfur-based fertilizer production plants and an emulsified sulfur blending plant; and manufactures and markets sulfur-based fertilizer and related sulfur products, such as ammonium sulfate, liquid sulfur, plant nutrient sulfur, Industrial sulfur, and sulfuric acid. Further, it is involved in owning and operating facilities for the blending, processing, packaging, marketing and distribution of private label agricultural, automotive, and industrial lubricants, as well as commercial and industrial greases; selling and distributing natural gas liquids; and storing and transporting of natural gas liquids for wholesale deliveries. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Kilgore, Texas.

Stock analysis

Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) currently trades at $2.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.16, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $5.58 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the $2.22 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.95, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.54 (bear) to $11.05 (bull), the price of $2.22 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Martin Midstream Partners LP reported revenue of $716M in FY2025 versus $882M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $93.5M · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% · Operating margin 4.1% · Revenue (TTM) $711M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 178%, MMLP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.54 Fair Value $6.16 Bull $11.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $3.18 $6.57 $11.75 77
Growth DCF $3.43 $6.61 $11.14 76
Owner Earnings $1.18 $4.09 $8.54 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.18 $6.57 $11.75 77
Owner Earnings $1.18 $4.09 $8.54 70
5Y Revenue Exit $1.01 $5.26 $11.15 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.7800 $4.85 $10.00 68
10Y Revenue Exit $1.70 $5.20 $9.10 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.80 $4.97 $8.45 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.1700 $0.2000 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2100 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a $1.04 $4.03 61
EV/EBITDA $0.2200 $3.95 $7.67 58
EV/Revenue n/a $4.63 $9.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.43 $6.61 $11.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.01 $5.58 $11.16 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → 6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.1% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +178% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 4.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 7.36× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 45
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 81

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $47.85 $36.91 −23%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $71.11 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $37.57 $24.61 −34%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.37 $28.24 −10%
TC Energy Corporation TRP $59.78 $24.51 −59%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $20.49 $19.43 −5%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $58.81 $70.84 +20%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $90.54 $80.35 −11%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $282.15 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $273.61 $349.73 +28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.16 versus a price of $2.22, about +178% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MMLP?
Our model-based fair value for Martin Midstream Partners LP is $6.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.22.
What is the quality score of MMLP?
Martin Midstream Partners LP has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.54, optimistic scenario $11.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Martin Midstream Partners LP stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.16, about +178% upside versus a price of $2.22 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.54, optimistic scenario $11.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Martin Midstream Partners LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $711M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Martin Midstream Partners LP pay a dividend?
Martin Midstream Partners LP currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Martin Midstream Partners LP would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MMLP use?
Our models discount Martin Midstream Partners LP at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Martin Midstream Partners LP that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Martin Midstream Partners LP grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Martin Midstream Partners LP (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.79 %: that much free cash flow Martin Midstream Partners LP produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Martin Midstream Partners LP it is $6.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.22. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Martin Midstream Partners LP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MMLP trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.22, fair value $6.16, a gap of about +178% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MMLP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.16). For Martin Midstream Partners LP the two are $3.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Martin Midstream Partners LP worth?
The market values Martin Midstream Partners LP at about $93.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.22; our models calculate a fair value of $6.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MMLP?
Our models span a range for Martin Midstream Partners LP: cautious scenario $2.54, base $6.16, optimistic $11.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MMLP?
The PEG ratio of Martin Midstream Partners LP is 7.36 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Martin Midstream Partners LP (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MMLP from its 52-week high?
Martin Midstream Partners LP trades at $2.22, about 33% below its 52-week high of $3.29 and 4% above the low of $2.12 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Martin Midstream Partners LP?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Martin Midstream Partners LP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.22, calculated fair value $6.16 (+178%), Quality Score 41/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MMLP calculated?
We run Martin Midstream Partners LP through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Martin Midstream Partners LP currently trades 178 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.22. Our model-based fair value is $6.16, about +178% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Martin Midstream Partners LP right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($2.54 to $11.05). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Martin Midstream Partners LP

How large is the market capitalisation of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The market capitalisation of Martin Midstream Partners LP is $93.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Martin Midstream Partners LP is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Earnings per share at Martin Midstream Partners LP are $−0.5100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The dividend yield of Martin Midstream Partners LP is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The net margin of Martin Midstream Partners LP is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Martin Midstream Partners LP is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
The operating margin of Martin Midstream Partners LP is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Revenue at Martin Midstream Partners LP is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP)?
Earnings per share at Martin Midstream Partners LP are growing +231% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) carry?
The net debt of Martin Midstream Partners LP is $525M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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