Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $47.39 to $45.00 (−5.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +25.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($58.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($31.87 to $58.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $51.68 – $110.29 · fair‑value band $31.87 – $58.14 · the $89.04 price screens above the $45.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI) currently trades at $89.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.00, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Merit Medical Systems, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $450M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $31.87 (bear case) to $58.14 (bull case); at $89.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -49%, MMSI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($59.71) versus Dividend Discount ($0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Merit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures in the United States, China, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy.
Full company description
Merit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures in the United States, China, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy. The company offers micropuncture kits, angiographic needles, sheaths, guide wires, and safety products; peripheral intervention products comprising angiography, drainage, delivery systems, and embolotherapy products; oncology products, such as soft tissue biopsy products and accessories; cardiac intervention products consisting of cardiac access, angiography, electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management, fluid management, hemodynamic monitoring, hemostasis, and intervention products; and spine products, including vertebral augmentation, radiofrequency ablation, and bone biopsy systems. It also provides custom procedural solutions, including critical care products, syringes, manifold kits, and trays and packs; coating services for medical tubes and wires; and sensor components for microelectromechanical systems. In addition, the company offers gastroenterology products, such as esophageal stents, cryoballoon and inflation devices, gauges, and balloon dilators; pulmonary products consisting of laser-cut tracheobronchial stents, and over-the-wire and direct visualization delivery systems; and kits and accessories for endoscopy and bronchoscopy procedures. It sells its products to hospitals, alternate site-based physicians, technicians, and nurses through direct sales force, independent distributors, original equipment manufacturer partners, and custom procedure tray manufacturers. The company exports its products to Canada, Western Europe, Australia, Brazil, Malaysia, South Korea, the United Arab Emirates, India, New Zealand, and South Africa. Merit Medical Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Merit Medical Systems, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $128M in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021.
MMSI screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Merit Medical Systems (MMSI) Earnings And Higher Outlook Put Valuation Back In Focus
- MMSI Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, '26 Guidance Raised
- Merit Medical Systems Inc (MMSI) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strongest Organic Growth ...
- Merit Medical (MMSI) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Peer Group
Medical Instruments & Supplies · 203 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG | $402.33 | $150.04 | -63% |
| EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme 1EL | €172.45 | €68.55 | -60% |
| Medline Inc MDLN | $41.11 | $30.15 | -27% |
| Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX | $150.65 | $103.53 | -31% |
| Alcon Inc ALC | $70.26 | $39.78 | -43% |
| ResMed Inc RMD | $203.87 | $187.89 | -8% |
| West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST | $353.71 | $143.97 | -59% |
| Straumann Holding STMN | CHF 106.00 | CHF 47.31 | -55% |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM | €188.50 | €51.16 | -73% |
| Coloplast A/S COLOB | kr 414.00 | kr 382.22 | -8% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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