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Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.4B

MM Merit Medical Systems, Inc logo Merit Medical Systems, Inc MMSI · US
Price$89.04
Fair Value$45.00
Upside-49.5%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $31.87 – $58.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $47.39 to $45.00 (−5.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +25.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($58.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($31.87 to $58.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$110.29 $51.68 Fair Value $45.00 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $51.68 – $110.29 · fair‑value band $31.87 – $58.14 · the $89.04 price screens above the $45.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI) currently trades at $89.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.00, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Merit Medical Systems, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $450M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.87 (bear case) to $58.14 (bull case); at $89.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -49%, MMSI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $39.64 $72.10 $125.03 80
Residual Income $21.70 $23.09 $25.92 76
Rev-Margin DCF $28.73 $51.59 $81.60 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $40.25 $76.56 $138.45 38
Owner Earnings $33.10 $63.64 $115.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.73 $51.98 $83.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $44.85 $85.66 $137.41 41
5Y P/E Exit $32.08 $58.98 $89.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit $31.37 $54.66 $90.11 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $42.81 $78.97 $134.93 37
10Y P/E Exit $34.49 $59.71 $95.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.65 $71.18 $98.06 54
Lynch FV $19.07 $27.25 $35.42 50
PEG = 1.0 $19.07 $27.25 $35.42 46
EPV $16.84 $20.26 $23.20 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3600 $0.7300 $1.10 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3600 $0.6300 $0.7700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $35.54 $47.39 $59.23 63
P/S Multiple $27.46 $36.62 $45.77 58
P/B Multiple $27.46 $36.62 $45.77 55
EV/EBIT $34.62 $47.76 $60.89 53
EV/EBITDA $51.37 $70.08 $88.80 54
EV/Revenue $23.34 $35.39 $47.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.28 $17.79 $26.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $39.64 $72.10 $125.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.73 $51.59 $81.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.70 $23.09 $25.92 76
ROIC Compounder $16.84 $20.26 $23.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $30.36 $43.37 $56.38 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($59.71) versus Dividend Discount ($0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 9.0%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow $216M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) $2.32
EPS growth (YoY) +38.8%
Net debt $450M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Merit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures in the United States, China, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy.

Full company description

Merit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures in the United States, China, Japan, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy. The company offers micropuncture kits, angiographic needles, sheaths, guide wires, and safety products; peripheral intervention products comprising angiography, drainage, delivery systems, and embolotherapy products; oncology products, such as soft tissue biopsy products and accessories; cardiac intervention products consisting of cardiac access, angiography, electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management, fluid management, hemodynamic monitoring, hemostasis, and intervention products; and spine products, including vertebral augmentation, radiofrequency ablation, and bone biopsy systems. It also provides custom procedural solutions, including critical care products, syringes, manifold kits, and trays and packs; coating services for medical tubes and wires; and sensor components for microelectromechanical systems. In addition, the company offers gastroenterology products, such as esophageal stents, cryoballoon and inflation devices, gauges, and balloon dilators; pulmonary products consisting of laser-cut tracheobronchial stents, and over-the-wire and direct visualization delivery systems; and kits and accessories for endoscopy and bronchoscopy procedures. It sells its products to hospitals, alternate site-based physicians, technicians, and nurses through direct sales force, independent distributors, original equipment manufacturer partners, and custom procedure tray manufacturers. The company exports its products to Canada, Western Europe, Australia, Brazil, Malaysia, South Korea, the United Arab Emirates, India, New Zealand, and South Africa. Merit Medical Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Merit Medical Systems, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $128M in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+21.4%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income +27.6%/yr
FY21 $48.5M
FY22 $74.5M
FY23 $94.4M
FY24 $120M
FY25 $128M

MMSI screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Merit Medical Systems, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMSI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 203 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.84× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 20.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.55× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 38 · sector 27
PAST 36 · sector 25
HEALTH 77 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $402.33 $150.04 -63%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme 1EL €172.45 €68.55 -60%
Medline Inc MDLN $41.11 $30.15 -27%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $150.65 $103.53 -31%
Alcon Inc ALC $70.26 $39.78 -43%
ResMed Inc RMD $203.87 $187.89 -8%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $353.71 $143.97 -59%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 106.00 CHF 47.31 -55%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €188.50 €51.16 -73%
Coloplast A/S COLOB kr 414.00 kr 382.22 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.00 versus a price of $89.04, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MMSI?
Our model-based fair value for Merit Medical Systems, Inc is $45.00 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $89.04.
What is the quality score of MMSI?
Merit Medical Systems, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Merit Medical Systems, Inc (MMSI)?
Merit Medical Systems, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MMSI?
The net profit margin of Merit Medical Systems, Inc is about 9.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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