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Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Minbos Resources Ltd A$0.01, price A$0.02, upside -12.4%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000MNB9

MR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Minbos Resources Ltd

MNB · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0149 · Overvalued (−12%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −23.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1950 A$0.0120 Fair Value A$0.0149 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0120 – A$0.1950 · fair‑value band A$0.0135 – A$0.0163 · the A$0.0170 price screens above the A$0.0149 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Minbos Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Africa. The company explores for phosphate and ammonia deposits. It also develops the Cabinda Phosphate Project and Capanda Green Ammonia Project located in Angola and Congo.

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Minbos Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Africa. The company explores for phosphate and ammonia deposits. It also develops the Cabinda Phosphate Project and Capanda Green Ammonia Project located in Angola and Congo. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB) currently trades at A$0.0170, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0149, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0135 (bear) to A$0.0163 (bull), the price of A$0.0170 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Minbos Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$43.3K in FY2025 versus A$2.5M in FY2021, a compound −63.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$25.4M (≈ $17.8M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −23.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.8% · Operating margin −3,741% · Revenue growth (YoY) +56.4% · Free cash flow −A$18.4M · Net cash A$1.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, MNB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0135 Fair Value A$0.0149 Bull A$0.0163
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17,953.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.2%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−200,917.6% (2020) → −19,793.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MNB screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 56% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.56× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 83.15× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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The Mosaic Company MOS $24.73 $25.77 +4%
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Minbos Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0149 −14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minbos Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MNB

Frequently asked questions

Is Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0149 versus a price of A$0.0170, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MNB?
Our model-based fair value for Minbos Resources Ltd is A$0.0149 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0170.
What is the quality score of MNB?
Minbos Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0149 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0135, optimistic scenario A$0.0163. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minbos Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0149, about −12% upside versus a price of A$0.0170 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0135, optimistic scenario A$0.0163. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minbos Resources Ltd it is A$0.0149 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0170. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minbos Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MNB trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0170, fair value A$0.0149, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MNB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0170); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0149). For Minbos Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0021 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minbos Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Minbos Resources Ltd at about A$25.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0170; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0149 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MNB?
Our models span a range for Minbos Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0135, base A$0.0149, optimistic A$0.0163 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0170). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minbos Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −23.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MNB from its 52-week high?
Minbos Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0170, about 69% below its 52-week high of A$0.0540 and 42% above the low of A$0.0120 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0149 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minbos Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minbos Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0170, calculated fair value A$0.0149 (−12%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MNB calculated?
We run Minbos Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0149, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Minbos Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0170. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0149, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minbos Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0163). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Minbos Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
The market capitalisation of Minbos Resources Ltd is A$25.4M (≈ $17.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
Earnings per share at Minbos Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minbos Resources Ltd is −23.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minbos Resources Ltd is −19.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
The operating margin of Minbos Resources Ltd is −3,741% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB)?
Revenue at Minbos Resources Ltd is growing +56.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB) generate?
The free cash flow of Minbos Resources Ltd is −A$18.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Minbos Resources Ltd (MNB) hold?
Minbos Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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